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PotD 02-25-26 - Three Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 6 March 2026, at 3:01 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 02-25-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 208 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 106 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Be-BBDbB---bA-A-aAba-b---:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	18/13 6/3	eq: +0.770
	Player: Opponent: 69.92% (G:50.06% B:4.51%) 30.08% (G:4.00% B:0.17%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.757...+0.784) - [100.0%] Duration: 44.1 seconds
2.	Rollout1	18/15 13/8	eq: +0.703 (-0.067)
	Player: Opponent: 68.25% (G:48.70% B:3.78%) 31.75% (G:3.89% B:0.15%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.689...+0.716) - [0.0%] Duration: 46.2 seconds
3.	Rollout1	15/10 13/10	eq: +0.696 (-0.074)
	Player: Opponent: 67.70% (G:48.49% B:3.96%) 32.30% (G:3.83% B:0.18%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.683...+0.710) - [0.0%] Duration: 46.3 seconds
4.	Rollout1	8/3 6/3	eq: +0.627 (-0.144)
	Player: Opponent: 66.17% (G:47.35% B:6.14%) 33.83% (G:7.26% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.610...+0.644) - [0.0%] Duration: 41.4 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below. The original plus Variants 1, 2 and 3 represent four different best plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 205 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 106 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Be-BBDbB---bA-A-aAb--ba--:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 5pt blot is on her 2pt

1.	Rollout1	8/3 6/3	eq: +0.939
	Player: Opponent: 74.08% (G:53.90% B:7.35%) 25.92% (G:4.22% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.931...+0.948) - [100.0%] Duration: 41 minutes 46 seconds
2.	Rollout1	15/10 13/10	eq: +0.910 (-0.029)
	Player: Opponent: 73.72% (G:52.43% B:4.70%) 26.28% (G:2.10% B:0.09%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.903...+0.917) - [0.0%] Duration: 45 minutes 39 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/8 6/3	eq: +0.891 (-0.048)
	Player: Opponent: 73.06% (G:52.42% B:6.02%) 26.94% (G:3.32% B:0.17%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.883...+0.899) - [0.0%] Duration: 49 minutes 31 seconds
4.	Rollout2	18/13 6/3	eq: +0.889 (-0.050)
	Player: Opponent: 73.72% (G:51.21% B:4.78%) 26.28% (G:2.83% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.875...+0.903) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 38 seconds
5.	Rollout2	13/5	eq: +0.878 (-0.062)
	Player: Opponent: 72.80% (G:51.74% B:5.38%) 27.20% (G:2.77% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.865...+0.891) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 40 seconds
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 19827496 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 19827496 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 211 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 106 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Be-BBDbB---bA-A-bAb--b---:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 5pt blot is on her 8pt

1.	Rollout1	18/15 13/8	eq: +0.749
	Player: Opponent: 69.53% (G:49.57% B:3.54%) 30.47% (G:3.44% B:0.15%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.736...+0.762) - [100.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 50 seconds
2.	Rollout1	18/13 6/3	eq: +0.709 (-0.040)
	Player: Opponent: 69.19% (G:47.23% B:3.55%) 30.81% (G:4.19% B:0.21%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.696...+0.723) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 30 seconds
3.	Rollout1	15/10 13/10	eq: +0.698 (-0.051)
	Player: Opponent: 68.04% (G:48.48% B:3.68%) 31.96% (G:3.69% B:0.16%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.684...+0.712) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 00 second
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 96977002 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 198 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 106 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Bd-BBDbB---cA-A-aAba-b---:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 23pt spare is on her 13pt

1.	Rollout1	15/10 13/10	eq: +0.546
	Player: Opponent: 65.19% (G:41.49% B:2.78%) 34.81% (G:4.30% B:0.18%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.540...+0.552) - [96.4%] Duration: 25 minutes 42 seconds
2.	Rollout1	18/13 6/3	eq: +0.537 (-0.009)
	Player: Opponent: 65.86% (G:39.91% B:2.58%) 34.14% (G:5.18% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.531...+0.543) - [2.2%] Duration: 24 minutes 17 seconds
3.	Rollout1	18/15 13/8	eq: +0.537 (-0.010)
	Player: Opponent: 65.57% (G:40.00% B:2.35%) 34.43% (G:4.43% B:0.18%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.530...+0.543) - [1.4%] Duration: 24 minutes 56 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/5	eq: +0.459 (-0.087)
	Player: Opponent: 62.82% (G:40.24% B:3.24%) 37.18% (G:6.06% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.446...+0.471) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 26 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69722710 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69722710 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 02-25-26
  Stick -- Monday, 2 March 2026, at 12:07 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-25-26
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 2 March 2026, at 3:07 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-25-26
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 2 March 2026, at 8:35 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-25-26
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 3 March 2026, at 1:49 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 02-25-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 5 March 2026, at 1:49 a.m.
    • PotD 02-25-26 - Three Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Friday, 6 March 2026, at 3:01 p.m.