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Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover

Posted By: Colin Owen
Date: Saturday, 14 March 2026, at 2:03 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover (John O'Hagan)

Yes, but it's not of much value really. OTB I'm now pretty confident I would have taken what I'd been given (the 3 pt) without much ado, and not made some speculative hitting play! It's only QF that suggested to me hitting might be best.

I rolled out the 2nd and 3rd plays in isolation until that issue stabilised at 100.0%, then played catch up with the top play. There's more daylight now between 2nd and 3rd.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 181 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 123 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBABaDB-A--ba--Ab-dbA--A-:1:-1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.	Rollout1	21/16 6/5*	eq: +0.5428
	Player: Opponent: 64.82% (G:40.59% B:8.38%) 35.18% (G:8.34% B:0.62%) Conf.: ±0.0062 (+0.5366...+0.5490) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 08 seconds
2.	Rollout1	16/11 6/5*	eq: +0.4705 (-0.0723)
	Player: Opponent: 62.63% (G:39.68% B:8.44%) 37.37% (G:9.93% B:0.87%) Conf.: ±0.0064 (+0.4641...+0.4769) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 03 seconds
3.	Rollout1	9/3	eq: +0.4541 (-0.0887)
	Player: Opponent: 62.32% (G:37.13% B:7.36%) 37.68% (G:6.91% B:0.33%) Conf.: ±0.0058 (+0.4483...+0.4599) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 53 seconds
4.	Rollout2	9/4 6/5*	eq: +0.3137 (-0.2291)
	Player: Opponent: 58.92% (G:35.99% B:7.33%) 41.08% (G:11.16% B:0.80%) Conf.: ±0.0145 (+0.2992...+0.3282) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 05 seconds
1 6480 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21976511 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 21976511 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
  Stick -- Wednesday, 11 March 2026, at 6:54 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 11 March 2026, at 9:36 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 11 March 2026, at 10:39 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
      Colin Owen -- Thursday, 12 March 2026, at 12:17 p.m.
      • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
        John O'Hagan -- Friday, 13 March 2026, at 7:24 p.m.
        • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
          Colin Owen -- Saturday, 14 March 2026, at 2:03 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Thursday, 12 March 2026, at 5:34 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 12 March 2026, at 7:46 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover - Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 13 March 2026, at 6:35 p.m.