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PotD 03-01-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 16 March 2026, at 2:40 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-01-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 162
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aBB-B-Aa-BbB---cbcDa-b--:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.Rollout120/15 11/9* eq: +0.334
Player:
Opponent:
57.51% (G:18.94% B:0.85%)
42.49% (G:12.41% B:0.47%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.319...+0.349) - [100.0%]
Duration: 47.0 seconds
2.Rollout113/8 11/9* eq: +0.281 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
56.20% (G:18.68% B:0.79%)
43.80% (G:12.35% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.266...+0.297) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45.1 seconds
3.Rollout211/6 11/9* eq: +0.148 (-0.186)
Player:
Opponent:
52.88% (G:17.93% B:0.72%)
47.12% (G:12.85% B:0.49%)
Conf.: ± 0.025 (+0.124...+0.173) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.0 seconds
4.Rollout220/13eq: -0.091 (-0.425)
Player:
Opponent:
46.84% (G:12.41% B:0.45%)
53.16% (G:12.59% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.028 (-0.119...-0.063) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.2 seconds
5.Rollout213/11 13/8eq: -0.113 (-0.448)
Player:
Opponent:
45.51% (G:10.78% B:0.33%)
54.49% (G:10.23% B:0.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.134...-0.092) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.7 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are contrasting variants.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 164
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aB-BB-Aa-BbB---cbcDa-b--:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Blue's 4pt is changed to his 5pt

1.Rollout113/8 11/9* eq: +0.416
Player:
Opponent:
59.24% (G:19.53% B:0.92%)
40.76% (G:11.45% B:0.45%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.401...+0.431) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout120/15 11/9* eq: +0.328 (-0.087)
Player:
Opponent:
57.74% (G:19.03% B:0.91%)
42.26% (G:13.12% B:0.50%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.314...+0.343) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 03 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 44254986
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aBB-B-AaB-bB---cbcDa-b--:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: Blue's 11pt is changed to his 10pt, roll 51

1.Rollout113/8 10/9* eq: +0.322
Player:
Opponent:
56.94% (G:19.31% B:0.84%)
43.06% (G:12.23% B:0.48%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.313...+0.331) - [96.3%]
Duration: 26 minutes 45 seconds
2.Rollout120/15 10/9* eq: +0.311 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
57.04% (G:19.24% B:0.85%)
42.96% (G:13.39% B:0.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.303...+0.319) - [3.7%]
Duration: 27 minutes 39 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 37034249
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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