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PotD 03-04-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 12:00 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-04-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 115 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 181 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=a-bBa-EAF---c----abcb---A-:0:0:-1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	Bar/20 21/20	eq: +0.236
	Player: Opponent: 58.34% (G:12.03% B:0.46%) 41.66% (G:17.18% B:0.80%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.227...+0.246) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 57 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/24 23/18*	eq: +0.210 (-0.027)
	Player: Opponent: 57.47% (G:14.48% B:0.66%) 42.53% (G:19.46% B:1.65%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.200...+0.219) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 52 seconds
3.	Rollout1	Bar/24 13/8	eq: +0.188 (-0.048)
	Player: Opponent: 57.34% (G:12.47% B:0.55%) 42.66% (G:19.21% B:1.15%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.179...+0.198) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 35 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are two contrasting variants. Altogether, there are three different positions with three different best plays are represented.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 115 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 192 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BCBA----B---fae-AbBAA:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: A Blue 13pt spare is back on his 24pt

1.	Rollout1	Bar/24 13/8	eq: +0.198
	Player: Opponent: 58.07% (G:12.75% B:0.53%) 41.93% (G:19.05% B:2.23%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.189...+0.208) - [97.7%] Duration: 2 hours 06 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/24 23/18*	eq: +0.184 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 57.55% (G:14.62% B:0.69%) 42.45% (G:20.16% B:2.59%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.174...+0.194) - [2.3%] Duration: 2 hours 09 minutes
3.	Rollout2	Bar/20 21/20	eq: +0.156 (-0.043)
	Player: Opponent: 57.01% (G:12.40% B:0.50%) 42.99% (G:20.21% B:1.10%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.137...+0.174) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 24 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 32806468 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 32806468 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 115 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 174 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BDBA----B---fae-AbB-A:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: A Blue 13pt spare is on her 6pt

1.	Rollout1	Bar/24 23/18*	eq: +0.184
	Player: Opponent: 56.62% (G:15.32% B:0.76%) 43.38% (G:19.06% B:1.68%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.178...+0.191) - [92.7%] Duration: 1 hour 16 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/20 21/20	eq: +0.178 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 56.58% (G:12.08% B:0.45%) 43.42% (G:16.19% B:0.78%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.173...+0.184) - [7.3%] Duration: 1 hour 15 minutes
3.	Rollout2	Bar/24 13/8	eq: +0.117 (-0.068)
	Player: Opponent: 55.28% (G:12.73% B:0.57%) 44.72% (G:18.78% B:1.16%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.100...+0.133) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 54 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 60549081 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 60549081 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 03-04-26
  Stick -- Tuesday, 10 March 2026, at 8:32 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-04-26
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 10 March 2026, at 7:31 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-04-26
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 10 March 2026, at 9:29 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-04-26
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Tuesday, 10 March 2026, at 9:36 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-04-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 11 March 2026, at 7:30 p.m.
    • PotD 03-04-26 - Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 12:00 a.m.