BGonline.org Forums

Hit or Cover - Two Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 11:40 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 181 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 123 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBABaDB-A--ba--Ab-dbA--A-:1:-1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	21/16 6/5*	eq: +0.557
	Player: Opponent: 65.29% (G:40.80% B:8.37%) 34.71% (G:8.35% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.542...+0.571) - [100.0%] Duration: 39.7 seconds
2.	Rollout1	16/11 6/5*	eq: +0.466 (-0.091)
	Player: Opponent: 62.74% (G:39.92% B:8.33%) 37.26% (G:9.84% B:0.93%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.452...+0.480) - [0.0%] Duration: 38.2 seconds
3.	Rollout1	9/3	eq: +0.463 (-0.094)
	Player: Opponent: 62.62% (G:37.27% B:7.33%) 37.38% (G:6.97% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.451...+0.474) - [0.0%] Duration: 38.3 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are contrasting variants. Altogether three positions with three different plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 177 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 123 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBABaDB-A--ba--A--fbA--A-:1:-1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Two White 8pt checkers are on her 6pt

1.	Rollout1	9/3	eq: +0.736
	Player: Opponent: 70.35% (G:41.76% B:8.48%) 29.65% (G:4.54% B:0.22%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.730...+0.742) - [93.2%] Duration: 31 minutes 03 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/16 6/5*	eq: +0.729 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 70.07% (G:43.56% B:9.02%) 29.93% (G:6.82% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.722...+0.736) - [6.8%] Duration: 32 minutes 45 seconds
3.	Rollout2	16/11 6/5*	eq: +0.711 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 69.52% (G:44.01% B:9.30%) 30.48% (G:7.66% B:0.79%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.702...+0.720) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 45 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 64333447 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 64333447 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 182 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 123 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBABaDB-A--ba--Ab-eaA--A-:1:-1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: One of White's 5pt checkers is back on her 6pt

1.	Rollout1	16/11 6/5*	eq: +0.940
	Player: Opponent: 72.62% (G:51.01% B:14.36%) 27.38% (G:4.23% B:0.33%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.932...+0.947) - [81.7%] Duration: 36 minutes 52 seconds
2.	Rollout1	21/16 6/5*	eq: +0.935 (-0.005)
	Player: Opponent: 72.74% (G:50.29% B:13.91%) 27.26% (G:4.01% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.927...+0.942) - [18.3%] Duration: 36 minutes 03 seconds
3.	Rollout2	9/3	eq: +0.856 (-0.084)
	Player: Opponent: 70.94% (G:47.56% B:12.21%) 29.06% (G:3.34% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.843...+0.869) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 52 seconds
4.	Rollout2	21/20* 16/11	eq: +0.769 (-0.171)
	Player: Opponent: 68.91% (G:45.88% B:11.51%) 31.09% (G:4.52% B:0.26%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.754...+0.784) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 37 seconds
5.	Rollout2	21/20* 20/15	eq: +0.758 (-0.182)
	Player: Opponent: 68.60% (G:46.45% B:11.46%) 31.40% (G:4.59% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.741...+0.774) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 35 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62996457 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62996457 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
  Stick -- Wednesday, 11 March 2026, at 6:54 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 11 March 2026, at 9:36 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 11 March 2026, at 10:39 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
      Colin Owen -- Thursday, 12 March 2026, at 12:17 p.m.
      • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
        John O'Hagan -- Friday, 13 March 2026, at 7:24 p.m.
        • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
          Colin Owen -- Saturday, 14 March 2026, at 2:03 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Thursday, 12 March 2026, at 5:34 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 12 March 2026, at 7:46 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-06-26 - Hit or Cover - Rollout
    Stick -- Friday, 13 March 2026, at 6:35 p.m.
    • Hit or Cover - Two Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 11:40 p.m.