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Bearoff - Three Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 19 March 2026, at 9:16 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-07-26 - Bearoff - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 33 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 48 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBDBBB----------------bd-:1:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	5/Off	eq: -0.122
	Player: Opponent: 36.81% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 63.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.123...-0.120) - [100.0%] Duration: 3.5 seconds
2.	Rollout1	4/Off 3/2	eq: -0.133 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 36.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 63.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.135...-0.132) - [0.0%] Duration: 5.3 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/5 6/2	eq: -0.143 (-0.022)
	Player: Opponent: 36.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 63.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.001 (-0.145...-0.142) - [0.0%] Duration: 1.2 seconds
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are three variants. Altogether four positions with four different best plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 34 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 48 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBDBBB----------------cc-:1:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1

1.	Rollout1	6/5 6/2	eq: -0.141
	Player: Opponent: 36.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 63.67% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.146...-0.136) - [99.9%] Duration: 1.4 seconds
2.	Rollout1	5/Off	eq: -0.152 (-0.011)
	Player: Opponent: 35.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 64.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.157...-0.147) - [0.1%] Duration: 3.6 seconds
3.	Rollout1	4/Off 3/2	eq: -0.167 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 35.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 64.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.172...-0.162) - [0.0%] Duration: 5.5 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 91674464 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 37 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 48 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBDBBB-------------a--bc-:1:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2

1.	Rollout1	4/Off 3/2	eq: +0.055
	Player: Opponent: 44.16% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 55.84% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.049...+0.060) - [100.0%] Duration: 9.6 seconds
2.	Rollout1	5/Off	eq: +0.032 (-0.022)
	Player: Opponent: 43.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 56.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.027...+0.038) - [0.0%] Duration: 6.7 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/5 6/2	eq: -0.034 (-0.089)
	Player: Opponent: 40.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 59.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.039...-0.029) - [0.0%] Duration: 2.3 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 62996457 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 30 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 48 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBDBBB-------------a-----:1:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3

1.	Rollout1	4/Off 1/Off	eq: -0.516
	Player: Opponent: 20.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 79.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.524...-0.507) - [100.0%] Duration: 38.3 seconds
2.	Rollout1	4/Off 3/2	eq: -0.553 (-0.038)
	Player: Opponent: 19.08% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 80.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.560...-0.546) - [0.0%] Duration: 16.7 seconds
3.	Rollout1	5/Off	eq: -0.580 (-0.064)
	Player: Opponent: 18.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 82.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.587...-0.573) - [0.0%] Duration: 11.1 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 8268953 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 03-07-26 - Bearoff
  Stick -- Thursday, 12 March 2026, at 11:55 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-07-26 - Bearoff
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 13 March 2026, at 1:54 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-07-26 - Bearoff
    ah_clem -- Friday, 13 March 2026, at 5:05 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-07-26 - Bearoff
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 13 March 2026, at 9:14 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-07-26 - Bearoff - Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 14 March 2026, at 6:31 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 03-07-26 - Bearoff - Rollout
      Chuck Bower -- Monday, 16 March 2026, at 4:55 p.m.
    • Bearoff - Three Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 19 March 2026, at 9:16 p.m.