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BGonline.org Forums
Position of the Day 03-16-26 - More TG or not TG
Posted By: John O'Hagan In Response To: Position of the Day 03-16-26 - More TG or not TG (Stick)
Date: Saturday, 21 March 2026, at 1:12 p.m.
Not TG. 63 and 61 don't cover and D3 doesn't keep the closed board, so Blue will have 15 great covering rolls. How many g's will Blue win after rolling one of these 15 covering numbers? I'd guess around 35%. How is Blue's game after rolling one of the 20 non-covering rolls? Eleven of these contain a 6 so Blue will have to play 18/X (except for D6) while the other 9 give Blue a choice of covering the ace by breaking an inner board point. If Blue rolls a 6 or if Blue decides not to switch and cover the ace and White follows with a hitting ace, that's real bad for Blue as White will have decent g chances of his own. OTOH, Blue is doing real well if White dances after one of these 20 non-covering numbers. I don't think Blue's net g's are enough to justify playing on. R/P.
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