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PotD 03-11-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 22 March 2026, at 4:36 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-11-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 175 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 111 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa-bBEBCBa----Acb-cb-----:1:-1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1.	Rollout1	15/9	eq: +0.514
	Player: Opponent: 69.12% (G:29.09% B:0.75%) 30.88% (G:4.15% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.506...+0.522) - [100.0%] Duration: 38.2 seconds
2.	Rollout1	15/10* 10/9	eq: +0.451 (-0.063)
	Player: Opponent: 64.81% (G:33.89% B:1.64%) 35.19% (G:4.69% B:0.17%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.441...+0.461) - [0.0%] Duration: 40.3 seconds
3.	Rollout1	7/2* 2/1*	eq: +0.444 (-0.070)
	Player: Opponent: 65.50% (G:34.40% B:0.85%) 34.50% (G:7.00% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.433...+0.454) - [0.0%] Duration: 47.0 seconds
4.	Rollout1	15/10* 6/5	eq: +0.427 (-0.087)
	Player: Opponent: 64.15% (G:33.29% B:1.79%) 35.85% (G:5.00% B:0.20%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.415...+0.438) - [0.0%] Duration: 40.0 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are two variants. Altogether, three positions with three different best plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 176 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 111 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--bBEBCBa----Acb-cb-----:1:-1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 23pt is changed to her 24pt

1.	Rollout1	15/10* 10/9	eq: +0.340
	Player: Opponent: 61.94% (G:27.92% B:2.37%) 38.06% (G:4.27% B:0.15%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.335...+0.345) - [99.0%] Duration: 36 minutes 27 seconds
2.	Rollout1	15/9	eq: +0.332 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 64.20% (G:21.91% B:1.60%) 35.80% (G:4.20% B:0.15%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.327...+0.336) - [1.0%] Duration: 35 minutes 41 seconds
3.	Rollout1	15/10* 6/5	eq: +0.326 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 61.65% (G:27.85% B:2.37%) 38.35% (G:4.61% B:0.17%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.321...+0.331) - [0.0%] Duration: 31 minutes 03 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 85430974 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 169 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 111 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aa-bBEBCBa----Acb-c---b--:1:-1:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 4pt is changed to her 2pt

1.	Rollout1	7/2* 2/1*	eq: +0.627
	Player: Opponent: 71.77% (G:35.45% B:1.10%) 28.23% (G:5.77% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.622...+0.632) - [96.1%] Duration: 33 minutes 22 seconds
2.	Rollout1	15/9	eq: +0.621 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 73.30% (G:28.10% B:0.85%) 26.70% (G:3.24% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.617...+0.625) - [3.9%] Duration: 27 minutes 15 seconds
3.	Rollout2	15/10* 10/9	eq: +0.603 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 69.99% (G:34.19% B:1.63%) 30.01% (G:3.41% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.594...+0.612) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 01 second
4.	Rollout2	15/10* 6/5	eq: +0.594 (-0.033)
	Player: Opponent: 70.04% (G:33.62% B:1.73%) 29.96% (G:3.68% B:0.14%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.585...+0.603) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 21 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 34616135 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 34616135 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 03-11-26
  Stick -- Monday, 16 March 2026, at 9:07 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-11-26
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 16 March 2026, at 2:16 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-11-26
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 16 March 2026, at 4:41 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-11-26
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 17 March 2026, at 1:19 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-11-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 5:42 a.m.
    • PotD 03-11-26 - Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 22 March 2026, at 4:36 a.m.