Awkward 31 - Six Variants

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Awkward 31 - Six Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 23 March 2026, at 6:29 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-13-26 - Awkward [31] - Rollout (Stick)

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=----bCC-D---bC-b-c-d--bAA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Original Position

1. Rollout¹ 24/21 8/7 eq: -0.394
Player:
Opponent: 41.60% (G:9.65% B:0.45%)
58.40% (G:22.15% B:0.97%) Conf.: ą 0.008 (-0.402...-0.386) - [90.9%]
Duration: 3 minutes 02 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 23/20 8/7 eq: -0.402 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent: 41.86% (G:9.80% B:0.41%)
58.14% (G:20.98% B:0.90%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (-0.409...-0.395) - [7.2%]
Duration: 3 minutes 00 second
3. Rollout¹ 24/21 6/5 eq: -0.404 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent: 41.22% (G:8.84% B:0.37%)
58.78% (G:20.99% B:0.60%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (-0.411...-0.398) - [1.8%]
Duration: 3 minutes 45 seconds
4. Rollout² 24/20 eq: -0.422 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent: 41.57% (G:9.46% B:0.40%)
58.43% (G:21.85% B:0.57%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.437...-0.408) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41.8 seconds
5. Rollout² 24/23 6/3 eq: -0.428 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent: 39.47% (G:7.97% B:0.31%)
60.53% (G:14.17% B:0.58%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.441...-0.414) - [0.0%]
Duration: 46.9 seconds
6. Rollout² 24/23 8/5 eq: -0.434 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent: 38.99% (G:7.78% B:0.28%)
61.01% (G:13.44% B:0.56%) Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.447...-0.422) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 12 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.
Below are six variants. Altogether, seven positions with seven different best plays.
Nack

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 140

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=----bCC-D---bC--bc-d--bAA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 10pt is changed to her 9pt

1. Rollout¹ 23/20 8/7 eq: -0.369
Player:
Opponent: 42.08% (G:9.59% B:0.41%)
57.92% (G:19.66% B:0.86%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.376...-0.363) - [90.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/20 eq: -0.376 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent: 42.27% (G:9.13% B:0.39%)
57.73% (G:20.40% B:0.55%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.383...-0.369) - [9.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
3. Rollout² 24/23 6/3 eq: -0.398 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent: 40.15% (G:8.73% B:0.34%)
59.85% (G:15.19% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.408...-0.388) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 09 seconds
4. Rollout³ 23/20 6/5 eq: -0.406 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent: 41.18% (G:9.17% B:0.40%)
58.82% (G:19.31% B:0.63%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.420...-0.392) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 59 seconds
5. Rollout³ 24/23 8/5 eq: -0.409 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent: 39.68% (G:8.05% B:0.29%)
60.32% (G:14.23% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.422...-0.397) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 15 seconds
6. Rollout³ 24/21 8/7 eq: -0.413 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent: 40.99% (G:9.48% B:0.43%)
59.01% (G:21.58% B:0.97%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.427...-0.399) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 28 seconds
7. Rollout³ 24/23 5/2 eq: -0.420 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent: 39.51% (G:8.48% B:0.35%)
60.49% (G:15.04% B:0.68%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.435...-0.404) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 25 seconds
8. Rollout³ 24/21 6/5 eq: -0.431 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent: 40.62% (G:8.74% B:0.38%)
59.38% (G:20.85% B:0.67%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.445...-0.417) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 54 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8268953
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8268953
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 8268953
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=----bCC-D---bC-bc--d--bAA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 8pt is changed to her 9pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 6/3 eq: -0.243
Player:
Opponent: 44.25% (G:8.86% B:0.34%)
55.75% (G:13.59% B:0.54%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.251...-0.236) - [68.3%]
Duration: 1 hour 38 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/23 8/5 eq: -0.246 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent: 44.26% (G:8.14% B:0.32%)
55.74% (G:13.22% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.253...-0.239) - [31.7%]
Duration: 1 hour 35 minutes
3. Rollout² 24/23 5/2 eq: -0.275 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent: 43.50% (G:8.72% B:0.29%)
56.50% (G:13.71% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.288...-0.262) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 26 seconds
4. Rollout² 13/9 eq: -0.291 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent: 43.16% (G:10.40% B:0.44%)
56.84% (G:16.47% B:0.78%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.306...-0.276) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 35 seconds
5. Rollout² 24/20 eq: -0.299 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent: 44.14% (G:8.81% B:0.31%)
55.86% (G:18.45% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.312...-0.286) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 55 seconds
6. Rollout² 24/21 6/5 eq: -0.300 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent: 43.68% (G:9.75% B:0.41%)
56.32% (G:18.91% B:0.54%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.314...-0.286) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 41 seconds
7. Rollout² 6/2 eq: -0.316 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent: 43.02% (G:9.57% B:0.32%)
56.98% (G:16.06% B:0.58%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.333...-0.299) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 17 seconds
8. Rollout² 23/20 6/5 eq: -0.317 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent: 43.16% (G:9.72% B:0.37%)
56.84% (G:17.69% B:0.64%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.330...-0.303) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 17 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 15152981
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 15152981
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 139

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=----bCC-D---bC-b--cd--bAA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 8pt is changed to her 7pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 8/5 eq: -0.364
Player:
Opponent: 41.01% (G:7.51% B:0.28%)
58.99% (G:13.41% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.370...-0.357) - [88.3%]
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/23 6/3 eq: -0.369 (-0.006)
Player:
Opponent: 40.88% (G:8.09% B:0.32%)
59.12% (G:13.73% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.376...-0.363) - [11.7%]
Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
3. Rollout² 24/23 5/2 eq: -0.395 (-0.032)
Player:
Opponent: 40.04% (G:7.98% B:0.29%)
59.96% (G:13.84% B:0.54%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.405...-0.386) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 20 seconds
4. Rollout³ 24/20 eq: -0.409 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent: 41.31% (G:8.37% B:0.34%)
58.69% (G:21.41% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.421...-0.397) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 19 seconds
5. Rollout³ 24/21 8/7 eq: -0.414 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent: 41.34% (G:9.44% B:0.40%)
58.66% (G:22.41% B:0.92%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.428...-0.401) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 31 seconds
6. Rollout³ 24/23 13/10 eq: -0.416 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent: 39.95% (G:8.48% B:0.34%)
60.05% (G:15.19% B:0.65%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.429...-0.403) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 03 seconds
7. Rollout³ 24/21 6/5 eq: -0.453 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent: 40.56% (G:9.14% B:0.37%)
59.44% (G:21.94% B:0.60%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.467...-0.439) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 14 seconds
8. Rollout³ 23/20 8/7 eq: -0.521 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent: 39.13% (G:9.15% B:0.37%)
60.87% (G:23.71% B:1.04%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.534...-0.508) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 42 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34616135
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34616135
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 34616135
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 147

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=----bCC-D---cC-b-b-d--bAA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: A White 8pt spare is on her 13pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/20 eq: -0.298
Player:
Opponent: 44.46% (G:10.18% B:0.44%)
55.54% (G:19.30% B:0.53%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.306...-0.289) - [99.8%]
Duration: 1 hour 08 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 23/20 8/7 eq: -0.317 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent: 43.76% (G:10.26% B:0.45%)
56.24% (G:19.97% B:0.81%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.326...-0.308) - [0.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes
3. Rollout² 24/21 6/5 eq: -0.324 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent: 43.08% (G:9.34% B:0.35%)
56.92% (G:19.03% B:0.57%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.337...-0.311) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 20 seconds
4. Rollout² 24/21 8/7 eq: -0.324 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent: 43.16% (G:10.02% B:0.46%)
56.84% (G:19.93% B:0.88%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.337...-0.312) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 15 seconds
5. Rollout² 24/23 6/3 eq: -0.324 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent: 42.21% (G:9.49% B:0.38%)
57.79% (G:14.17% B:0.58%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.338...-0.311) - [0.1%]
Duration: 38 minutes 12 seconds
6. Rollout² 24/23 8/5 eq: -0.337 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent: 41.57% (G:8.88% B:0.32%)
58.43% (G:13.86% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.353...-0.321) - [0.0%]
Duration: 41 minutes 15 seconds
7. Rollout² 23/20 6/5 eq: -0.351 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent: 42.93% (G:9.23% B:0.35%)
57.07% (G:18.70% B:0.53%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.364...-0.337) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 14 seconds
8. Rollout² 24/23 5/2 eq: -0.353 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent: 41.56% (G:8.86% B:0.32%)
58.44% (G:15.33% B:0.57%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.367...-0.339) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 34 seconds

¹ 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 51070136
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 51070136
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 156
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=----bCC-C---bD-b-c-d--bAA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 5: A Blue 8pt spare is on his 13pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/23 13/10 eq: -0.411
Player:
Opponent: 40.10% (G:8.70% B:0.37%)
59.90% (G:16.08% B:0.76%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.419...-0.403) - [96.7%]
Duration: 1 hour 01 minute
2. Rollout¹ 24/23 6/3 eq: -0.421 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent: 39.59% (G:8.09% B:0.31%)
60.41% (G:14.84% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.429...-0.414) - [3.3%]
Duration: 57 minutes 57 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/9 eq: -0.429 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent: 40.77% (G:9.58% B:0.43%)
59.23% (G:20.87% B:0.99%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.436...-0.422) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 17 minutes
4. Rollout² 24/21 6/5 eq: -0.432 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent: 40.67% (G:8.98% B:0.38%)
59.33% (G:21.85% B:0.70%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.441...-0.423) - [0.0%]
Duration: 43 minutes 19 seconds
5. Rollout² 23/20 8/7 eq: -0.437 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent: 40.98% (G:9.16% B:0.41%)
59.02% (G:21.85% B:1.00%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.447...-0.427) - [0.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 58 seconds
6. Rollout³ 24/23 8/5 eq: -0.444 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent: 38.48% (G:7.83% B:0.29%)
61.52% (G:14.07% B:0.66%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.458...-0.429) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 55 seconds
7. Rollout³ 24/20 eq: -0.444 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent: 41.17% (G:9.08% B:0.37%)
58.83% (G:22.99% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.460...-0.429) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 42 seconds
8. Rollout³ 24/23 5/2 eq: -0.457 (-0.045)
Player:
Opponent: 38.19% (G:8.07% B:0.29%)
61.81% (G:14.57% B:0.64%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.471...-0.442) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 03 seconds
9. Rollout³ 24/21 8/7 eq: -0.457 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent: 40.40% (G:9.32% B:0.38%)
59.60% (G:23.45% B:1.08%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.469...-0.445) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 48 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 64333447
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 64333447
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 64333447
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 149
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=----bCD-C---bC-b-c-d--bAA-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 6: A Blue 8pt spare is on his 6pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/21 6/5 eq: -0.381
Player:
Opponent: 41.68% (G:9.17% B:0.36%)
58.32% (G:20.04% B:0.60%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.388...-0.374) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/23 6/3 eq: -0.405 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent: 40.31% (G:8.10% B:0.32%)
59.69% (G:15.02% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.412...-0.397) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes
3. Rollout¹ 23/20 6/5 eq: -0.412 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent: 41.27% (G:9.66% B:0.38%)
58.73% (G:19.75% B:0.65%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.419...-0.404) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
4. Rollout² 6/2 eq: -0.418 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent: 40.88% (G:8.97% B:0.35%)
59.12% (G:19.50% B:0.69%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.428...-0.408) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48 minutes 32 seconds
5. Rollout² 24/20 eq: -0.419 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent: 41.37% (G:9.70% B:0.40%)
58.63% (G:21.68% B:0.59%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.429...-0.409) - [0.0%]
Duration: 46 minutes 44 seconds
6. Rollout³ 6/5 6/3 eq: -0.432 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent: 40.80% (G:9.06% B:0.40%)
59.20% (G:20.31% B:0.71%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.446...-0.418) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 32 seconds
7. Rollout³ 8/7 6/3 eq: -0.444 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent: 40.42% (G:10.33% B:0.51%)
59.58% (G:21.57% B:1.19%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.460...-0.428) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 46 seconds
8. Rollout³ 23/20 8/7 eq: -0.450 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent: 40.36% (G:9.63% B:0.44%)
59.64% (G:20.83% B:0.92%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.463...-0.437) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 01 second

¹ 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 85430974
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 85430974
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 85430974
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

Position of the Day 03-13-26 - Awkward [31]
Stick -- Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 5:44 a.m.
- Position of the Day 03-13-26 - Awkward [31]
  John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 4:59 p.m.
- Position of the Day 03-13-26 - Awkward [31]
  Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 5:02 p.m.
- Position of the Day 03-13-26 - Awkward [31]
  ah_clem -- Wednesday, 18 March 2026, at 9:01 p.m.
- Position of the Day 03-13-26 - Awkward [31] - Rollout
  Stick -- Friday, 20 March 2026, at 12:21 p.m.
  - Position of the Day 03-13-26 - Awkward [31] - Rollout
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 20 March 2026, at 8:23 p.m.
  - Awkward 31 - Six Variants
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 23 March 2026, at 6:29 p.m.

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.

Post Response

Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:
If necessary, enter your password below:
Password: