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PotD 03-14-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 24 March 2026, at 4:43 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-14-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 144 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 138 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-DBB---eDa---bbbb--A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	8/3 6/3	eq: -0.232
	Player: Opponent: 42.73% (G:14.64% B:0.46%) 57.27% (G:13.02% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.247...-0.217) - [99.7%] Duration: 36.3 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/10 13/8	eq: -0.261 (-0.029)
	Player: Opponent: 42.14% (G:13.26% B:0.49%) 57.86% (G:13.20% B:0.44%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.275...-0.247) - [0.3%] Duration: 38.2 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/5	eq: -0.400 (-0.167)
	Player: Opponent: 38.40% (G:11.96% B:0.35%) 61.60% (G:14.31% B:0.57%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.415...-0.384) - [0.0%] Duration: 28.5 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is one cusp variant and one contrasting variant.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 140 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 138 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-DBB---eDa---bb-bb-A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: A Blue 6pt spare is back on the 11pt

1.	Rollout1	13/10 13/8	eq: +0.0008
	Player: Opponent: 49.40% (G:14.82% B:0.51%) 50.60% (G:12.70% B:0.45%) Conf.: ±0.0047 (-0.0038...+0.0055) - [51.1%] Duration: 45 minutes 24 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/3 6/3	eq: +0.0007 (-0.0001)
	Player: Opponent: 49.29% (G:16.66% B:0.49%) 50.71% (G:13.16% B:0.47%) Conf.: ±0.0046 (-0.0038...+0.0053) - [48.9%] Duration: 40 minutes 52 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 8268953 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 144 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--B-CBB--AeDa---bbbb--A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 5pt is changed to her 3pt

1.	Rollout1	13/10 13/8	eq: -0.216
	Player: Opponent: 43.42% (G:12.93% B:0.52%) 56.58% (G:14.46% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.231...-0.202) - [100.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 44 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/3 6/3	eq: -0.270 (-0.053)
	Player: Opponent: 42.35% (G:12.80% B:0.48%) 57.65% (G:15.58% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.282...-0.257) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 30 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/10 11/6	eq: -0.273 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 41.89% (G:12.19% B:0.43%) 58.11% (G:13.80% B:0.53%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.288...-0.259) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 32 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/5	eq: -0.302 (-0.086)
	Player: Opponent: 41.55% (G:12.23% B:0.46%) 58.45% (G:16.45% B:0.81%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.316...-0.288) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 36 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/8 11/8	eq: -0.312 (-0.095)
	Player: Opponent: 41.60% (G:11.16% B:0.41%) 58.40% (G:14.11% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.327...-0.296) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 38 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 34616135 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 03-14-26
  Stick -- Thursday, 19 March 2026, at 7:52 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-14-26
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 19 March 2026, at 12:17 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-14-26
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 19 March 2026, at 6:53 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-14-26
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 19 March 2026, at 8:52 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 03-14-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 21 March 2026, at 8:03 a.m.
    • PotD 03-14-26 - Variants
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 24 March 2026, at 4:43 a.m.