At 5a 5a, gammons are more valuable than usual, so bringing an 11th checker into the zone is tempting. And while there's no compelling reason to anchor here, moving the runner up is the obvious follow on to 13/7. Hence my play of 24/21 13/7.
But there's no real hurry to bring more into the zone, and the aphorism "do what's hard first" seems to apply, so simply Pottling is the bot choice by a substantial margin.
I haven't rolled out other scores, but it looks like score doesn't matter. 24/15 is the clear DMP play and other plays don't win (or lose) very many more gammons.
         
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 164 | | 5 point match | pip: 144
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=b--aBBBBB---bC---cbcbA--A-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:5:9 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/15 | eq: +1.035 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 76.18% (G:28.29% B:1.51%)
23.82% (G:4.00% B:0.22%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (+1.028...+1.043) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 50 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 21/15 13/10 | eq: +0.981 (-0.055) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 72.81% (G:30.78% B:1.95%)
27.19% (G:5.27% B:0.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.968...+0.993) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 07 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 24/21 13/7 | eq: +0.933 (-0.102) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 72.13% (G:30.40% B:1.71%)
27.87% (G:5.50% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.919...+0.947) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 14 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 13/10 13/7 | eq: +0.825 (-0.211) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 67.88% (G:31.58% B:2.00%)
32.12% (G:7.24% B:0.50%) | Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.812...+0.838) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2