Didn't figure I'd get many replies when it's four problems in one but I've had a few of these games against XG lately heading to a 16 cube. Interesting to see the evolution of the game and if either of us, even the almighty, might have made an cube mistakes. (esp. in positions like these that I'd deem unusual)
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| XGID=-ba---ECD---A----b-bbadaB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No double | Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 64.42% (G:22.29% B:2.02%) | 64.32% (G:22.53% B:2.26%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 35.58% (G:11.98% B:0.65%) | 35.68% (G:12.02% B:0.65%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.405 | +0.815 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No double: | +0.555 | ±0.007 (+0.547..+0.562) |
| Double/Take: | +0.552 (-0.002) | ±0.011 (+0.541..+0.563) |
| Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.445) | |
| Best Cube action: No double / Take | ||
| Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 0.5% | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 63.5% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 3 minutes 25 seconds | ||
3 ply and XGR+ had this as a clear take being worth ~+0.900. XG Roller and 4 ply both think it's a pass and ++ thinks it's a tiny take.
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| XGID=-G-aFa--------baa--bA-c-dA:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 72.87% (G:15.15% B:0.32%) | 72.88% (G:15.98% B:0.31%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 27.13% (G:3.41% B:0.03%) | 27.12% (G:3.58% B:0.02%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.578 | +1.169 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No redouble: | +0.828 (-0.164) | ±0.004 (+0.824..+0.832) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.993 | ±0.008 (+0.984..+1.001) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.007) | |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 95.9% | |
| Duration: 1 minute 23 seconds | ||
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| XGID=-HB-Ca---A--aA-----bc-c-e-:2:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 75.77% (G:0.86% B:0.00%) | 76.11% (G:1.11% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 24.23% (G:0.46% B:0.00%) | 23.89% (G:0.47% B:0.01%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.519 | +1.057 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No redouble: | +0.746 (-0.126) | ±0.004 (+0.742..+0.750) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.872 | ±0.008 (+0.864..+0.880) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.128) | |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 4.3 seconds | ||
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| XGID=-IB-B----a---------bb-bbfA:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10 | |||||
| Blue on roll, cube action? | |||||
| Analyzed in Rollout | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 78.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 78.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 21.58% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) | 21.82% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.568 | +1.127 |
| Cubeful Equities | ||
| No redouble: | +0.856 (-0.126) | ±0.002 (+0.854..+0.859) |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.982 | ±0.005 (+0.977..+0.987) |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.000 (+0.018) | |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take | ||
| Rollout details | ||
| 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller | ||
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Take Decision confidence: | 100.0% | |
| Duration: 2.6 seconds | ||