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PotD 03-20-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 29 March 2026, at 5:19 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-20-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB--BD-C---cB---bbeB-b---:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout18/5 6/2eq: +0.284
Player:
Opponent:
56.66% (G:13.15% B:0.17%)
43.34% (G:6.46% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.274...+0.294) - [100.0%]
Duration: 34.0 seconds
2.Rollout18/1* eq: +0.243 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
54.53% (G:17.34% B:0.22%)
45.47% (G:7.83% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.231...+0.255) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36.9 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 13/9eq: +0.166 (-0.118)
Player:
Opponent:
53.09% (G:12.08% B:0.21%)
46.91% (G:4.99% B:0.21%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.156...+0.175) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37.6 seconds
4.Rollout120/13eq: +0.107 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:
53.02% (G:10.86% B:0.39%)
46.98% (G:10.29% B:0.22%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.096...+0.117) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34.6 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are two variants. Altogether, three positions with three different best plays represented.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 125
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB--BD-C---cB---bbdB-ba--:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: A White 6pt checker is on her 2pt

1.Rollout18/1* eq: +0.285
Player:
Opponent:
55.16% (G:18.91% B:0.32%)
44.84% (G:9.04% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.273...+0.296) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 52 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/2eq: +0.225 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:
54.51% (G:13.38% B:0.20%)
45.49% (G:7.32% B:0.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.215...+0.234) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 45 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 13/9eq: +0.160 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:
52.92% (G:12.77% B:0.30%)
47.08% (G:5.63% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.149...+0.171) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 38 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 60183158
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 130
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB--BD-C---c-B--bbeB-b---:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: Blue's 13pt is changed to his 14pt

1.Rollout114/11 14/10eq: +0.191
Player:
Opponent:
53.50% (G:12.75% B:0.20%)
46.50% (G:5.40% B:0.21%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.185...+0.197) - [96.4%]
Duration: 30 minutes 52 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/2eq: +0.184 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
53.78% (G:11.71% B:0.20%)
46.22% (G:5.91% B:0.24%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.179...+0.189) - [3.6%]
Duration: 29 minutes 35 seconds
3.Rollout28/1* eq: +0.136 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:
51.97% (G:14.60% B:0.18%)
48.03% (G:6.96% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.125...+0.146) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 06 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36385416
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 36385416
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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