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Position of the Day 03-25-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 1 April 2026, at 7:19 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-25-26 (Stick)

I've included both the usual money game rollout with Jacoby toggled on and then with it off. While not quite a cube without Jacoby it's still pretty darn close.

Normal money game/unlimited with Jacoby





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 77
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 84
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-ACBBBBbA----B-----cbbbbb-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 55.31% (G:8.94% B:0.12%) 55.42% (G:8.54% B:0.11%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 44.69% (G:0.93% B:0.01%) 44.58% (G:0.92% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities +0.187 +0.371
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.058 (-0.038)±0.008 (+0.049..+0.066)
Double/Take:+0.095±0.015 (+0.081..+0.110)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.905)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9.8 seconds


No Jacoby





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 77
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 84
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-ACBBBBbA----B-----cbbbbb-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 55.15% (G:8.88% B:0.10%) 55.37% (G:8.59% B:0.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 44.85% (G:0.92% B:0.01%) 44.63% (G:0.94% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities +0.184 +0.369
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.099±0.003 (+0.096..+0.101)
Double/Take:+0.090 (-0.009)±0.004 (+0.085..+0.094)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.901)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 1.0%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 49 seconds

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