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Holding Game Cube - Four Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 8 April 2026, at 10:06 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-23-26 - Holding Game Cube - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 92
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--BBCBB------B-bbb-ccB-ba-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.96% (G:1.82% B:0.02%) 77.48% (G:1.62% B:0.02%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.04% (G:1.10% B:0.02%) 22.52% (G:1.05% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities +0.546 +1.110
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.918 (-0.082)±0.003 (+0.915..+0.921)
Redouble/Take:+1.004 (+0.004)±0.004 (+1.000..+1.008)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:96.8%
Duration: 1 minute 43 seconds

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are four variants. Five positions, five different cube actions represented.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AB-bCC--BB-b----B-bbcbb--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Blue's 8pt is changed to his 17pt

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 56.20% (G:7.01% B:0.17%) 56.91% (G:6.32% B:0.13%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 43.80% (G:8.68% B:0.20%) 43.09% (G:8.93% B:0.24%)
Cubeless Equities +0.107 +0.222
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.333±0.008 (+0.325..+0.341)
Redouble/Beaver:-0.043 (-0.375)±0.029 (-0.072..-0.013)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.667)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 26.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 86365276
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Beaver Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 114
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 92
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ABb-CC-BBB-b------bbcbb--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 21pt is changed to her 22pt

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.08% (G:3.10% B:0.05%) 72.56% (G:2.95% B:0.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.92% (G:2.50% B:0.07%) 27.44% (G:2.64% B:0.07%)
Cubeless Equities +0.447 +0.908
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.794±0.005 (+0.790..+0.799)
Redouble/Take:+0.778 (-0.016)±0.006 (+0.772..+0.784)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.206)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.9%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 81747672
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 12 minutes 34 seconds
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 94
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A-BbCC-BBB-b------bbcbb--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Blue's 2pt is changed to his 3pt

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.97% (G:1.88% B:0.02%) 77.32% (G:1.65% B:0.02%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.03% (G:1.05% B:0.02%) 22.68% (G:1.02% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities +0.548 +1.105
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.924 (-0.066)±0.003 (+0.921..+0.927)
Redouble/Take:+0.990±0.004 (+0.986..+0.995)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.010)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 6348218
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 23 minutes 49 seconds
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 139
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 92
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-AB-bCC-BBB-e------bb-bb--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: White's 4pt checkers are on her 13pt

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 82.29% (G:8.73% B:0.07%) 82.16% (G:8.51% B:0.09%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 17.71% (G:1.16% B:0.02%) 17.84% (G:1.37% B:0.05%)
Cubeless Equities +0.722 +1.430
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.000±0.001 (+0.999..+1.001)
Redouble/Take:+1.323 (+0.323)±0.003 (+1.319..+1.326)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (0.000)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 0.0%
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 323209
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:55.7%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes

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