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PotD 03-25-26 - Kauder Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 8 April 2026, at 10:59 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 03-25-26 - Rollout (Stick)

Stick's original position (posted in this thread) is
a Double / Take with Jacoby, or
a No Double / Take without Jacoby

Below is an amusing variant. If you move Blue's 6pt checker to his 18pt, then (regardless of whether Jacoby is used) you have a...





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 77
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 96
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBBBB-----b----aCbbbbca-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Kauder Paradox

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 54.10% (G:8.36% B:0.06%) 54.38% (G:7.53% B:0.04%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 45.90% (G:1.16% B:0.01%) 45.62% (G:0.84% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities +0.154 +0.309
Cubeful Equities
No double:-0.012 (-0.004)±0.003 (-0.015..-0.008)
Double/Beaver:-0.008±0.010 (-0.018..+0.003)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.008)
Best Cube action: Double / Beaver
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 86365276
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:77.6%
Beaver Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 07 seconds

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