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Position of the Day 04-05-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 9 April 2026, at 9:43 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-05-26 (Stick)

XGR+ tried to ding me .068 for cubing this. XGR++ .044. While I understand that it's the easiest take ever given the racing lead and that also we may not have the standard number of market losing sequences, this feels like a position to me where our edge is already so big due to the opponent being disconnected and us having total control of the board. I'd cube it again, bot be damned.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 109
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 148
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a-BD-C--A-C---d-cB-cab-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 65.57% (G:17.57% B:0.60%) 65.84% (G:18.29% B:0.62%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 34.43% (G:10.81% B:0.17%) 34.16% (G:9.98% B:0.16%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.383 +0.809
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.628±0.010 (+0.618..+0.637)
Double/Take:+0.601 (-0.027)±0.012 (+0.589..+0.613)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.372)
 
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.3%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 13 seconds

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