I know quite a few of you made the 5pt but OtB I didn't even consider it as a play. Trying to retro analyze the reasoning this play is so bad is it tries to accomplish nothing towards our timing. Really it just feels wrong, wish I had a more tangible explanation to share.
I jacked up the rollout settings and I'm not really concerned with what the absolute correct play is in the position. I'm only worried about what is definitely wrong so this rollout is good enough.
           
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 128 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 206
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---aa-DaBA---C--aabbbbbBC-:1:1:1:43:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 43 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 8/4* 6/3* | eq: -0.767 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.80% (G:1.80% B:0.15%)
68.20% (G:43.23% B:13.90%) | Conf.: ± 0.022 (-0.789...-0.745) - [73.3%]
Duration: 3 hours 47 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/9 8/5 | eq: -0.775 (-0.008) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.40% (G:1.53% B:0.08%)
70.60% (G:41.76% B:9.80%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.790...-0.761) - [26.7%]
Duration: 2 hours 37 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/9 6/3* | eq: -0.813 (-0.046) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.19% (G:1.74% B:0.10%)
71.81% (G:42.38% B:9.96%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.829...-0.796) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 46 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 9/5 8/5 | eq: -0.842 (-0.075) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 26.90% (G:1.30% B:0.07%)
73.10% (G:42.21% B:8.96%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.854...-0.830) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 19 minutes |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Gigantic
|