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Position of the Day 04-09-26

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Saturday, 11 April 2026, at 7:33 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-09-26 (Stick)

Isight method gives blue an adjusted pipcount of 15. Add 1/6 and subtract two to arrive at the point of last take of 15. White is within that, and Blue is within three so Isight says D/T.

But Isight is less accurate for short races like this, so it's worth looking more closely.

Unless something weird happens, blue will be off in three rolls. White is often off in two rolls, but sometimes will need three. A 3 roll position is R/T, but a 3 vs 2.5 roll position would seem to be a hold.

Rolls that fail to bear off (34, 35, 45) would seem to provoke a re-whip. Likewise, any roll that bears off two for white (62, 22, 33, 44, 55) are re-whips unless blue rolls really well. That further inclines me to hold.

OTOH, Blue loses his market any time he doesn't shake one of the bad rolls above, and white fails to roll one of her great numbers, so that's lots of market losers.

So, as blue I'll ship it and make it white's problem. R/T.

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