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Which two of them - Four best plays

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 12 April 2026, at 11:59 p.m.

In Response To: Which two of them ? - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 106 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 107 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=-CEaBAa--A--------cbccbAB-:1:-1:-1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	22/20* 5/2*	eq: +1.756
	Player: Opponent: 98.07% (G:67.61% B:9.30%) 1.93% (G:0.04% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.751...+1.761) - [100.0%] Duration: 19.1 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/20* 19/16*	eq: +1.732 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 98.02% (G:65.55% B:8.83%) 1.98% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.727...+1.737) - [0.0%] Duration: 18.2 seconds
3.	Rollout1	19/16* 4/2*	eq: +1.729 (-0.026)
	Player: Opponent: 97.97% (G:65.80% B:8.49%) 2.03% (G:0.04% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.725...+1.734) - [0.0%] Duration: 17.9 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are three variants. In Variant 2, White just entered with 52 (or 51), breaking her 9pt.

Altogether, four positions with four different best plays represented.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 106 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 117 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ba-CCBCB-------a--AabAec-:1:1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Blue's 3pt is changed to his 8pt

1.	Rollout1	22/20* 19/16*	eq: +1.666
	Player: Opponent: 97.31% (G:61.22% B:7.26%) 2.69% (G:0.09% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.664...+1.669) - [82.3%] Duration: 25 minutes 42 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/20* 5/2*	eq: +1.665 (-0.002)
	Player: Opponent: 96.90% (G:61.57% B:7.31%) 3.10% (G:0.18% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.662...+1.667) - [17.7%] Duration: 30 minutes 04 seconds
3.	Rollout2	19/16* 4/2*	eq: +1.651 (-0.016)
	Player: Opponent: 97.03% (G:60.60% B:6.74%) 2.97% (G:0.18% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.646...+1.655) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 33 seconds
4.	Rollout2	5/2* 4/2	eq: +1.555 (-0.111)
	Player: Opponent: 96.28% (G:53.12% B:5.23%) 3.72% (G:0.27% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.551...+1.559) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 23 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69587191 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 69587191 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 103 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 107 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-baBCCBC--------a--AaaAed-:1:1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: A White 4pt checker is on her 1pt

1.	Rollout1	19/16* 4/2*	eq: +1.846
	Player: Opponent: 98.79% (G:72.57% B:12.57%) 1.21% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.841...+1.851) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 56 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/20* 5/2*	eq: +1.828 (-0.018)
	Player: Opponent: 98.77% (G:72.30% B:11.01%) 1.23% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.823...+1.833) - [0.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 51 seconds
3.	Rollout1	5/2* 4/2	eq: +1.789 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 98.68% (G:68.65% B:10.89%) 1.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.785...+1.793) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 21 seconds
4.	Rollout1	22/20* 19/16*	eq: +1.772 (-0.074)
	Player: Opponent: 98.54% (G:68.23% B:9.78%) 1.46% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.768...+1.776) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 47 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 323209 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 172 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 107 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-eaBCCBC--------a--AabAbc-:1:1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Three White 2pt checkers are on her 23pt

1.	Rollout1	5/2* 4/2	eq: +2.024
	Player: Opponent: 95.52% (G:80.59% B:27.04%) 4.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+2.019...+2.028) - [97.6%] Duration: 17 minutes 07 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/20* 5/2*	eq: +2.016 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 94.65% (G:77.99% B:30.03%) 5.35% (G:0.01% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+2.011...+2.022) - [2.4%] Duration: 21 minutes 33 seconds
3.	Rollout2	19/16* 4/2*	eq: +2.000 (-0.023)
	Player: Opponent: 94.93% (G:78.09% B:28.00%) 5.07% (G:0.01% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+1.994...+2.007) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 02 seconds
4.	Rollout3	22/20* 19/16*	eq: +1.943 (-0.081)
	Player: Opponent: 93.29% (G:74.19% B:27.83%) 6.71% (G:0.01% B:0.00%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+1.932...+1.953) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 08 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 6348218 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 6348218 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 6348218 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Which two of them ?
  pierrez -- Wednesday, 1 April 2026, at 11:29 p.m.
  • Which two of them ?
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 2 April 2026, at 3:03 a.m.
  • Which two of them ?
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 2 April 2026, at 5:05 p.m.
    • Which two of them ?
      ah_clem -- Thursday, 2 April 2026, at 5:07 p.m.
  • Which two of them ?
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 2 April 2026, at 6:36 p.m.
  • Which two of them ?
    Stick -- Friday, 3 April 2026, at 9:39 p.m.
  • Which two of them ? - Rollout
    Stick -- Saturday, 4 April 2026, at 9:15 p.m.
    • Which two of them - Four best plays
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 12 April 2026, at 11:59 p.m.