As mentioned by Stick, not easy to find OTB.
       
 
         
 | | White is Joueur 2
score: 0
pip: 123 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 79
score: 0
Blue is Joueur 1 |
|
| XGID=-aBBBBBBBAb-aa---a-bbabb--:1:-1:1:56:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 56 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/4 7/1* | eq: +1,094 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 81,25% (G:57,61% B:1,37%)
18,75% (G:4,65% B:0,14%) | Conf.: ± 0,006 (+1,088...+1,100) - [100,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 13 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/4 8/2 | eq: +1,063 (-0,031) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 86,81% (G:38,14% B:0,22%)
13,19% (G:1,73% B:0,06%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+1,058...+1,068) - [0,0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/3 8/2 | eq: +1,058 (-0,036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 86,62% (G:38,40% B:0,24%)
13,38% (G:1,85% B:0,07%) | Conf.: ± 0,004 (+1,054...+1,063) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/3 7/1* | eq: +1,058 (-0,036) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80,95% (G:57,70% B:1,47%)
19,05% (G:8,20% B:0,87%) | Conf.: ± 0,006 (+1,052...+1,063) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 27 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
The reason is : Blue is trying to assess how he is going to win gammons and he is usually lured by the usual way, chasing a second checker by being hit, hitting back, waiting the crunch of the opponent’s homeboard, and so on.
But in this position, the gammon is ready to be picked up.
Because there are so many White blots far away from her homeboard, it is a blitz, not a priming game.
What if Blue is hit on the 1 point ? That is the difficult point. The trade-off between SW, GW, SL and GL favors the hitting play.
Variant : even if the White blot is stepped back on her 2 point, increasing the strength of her homeboard, the attacking play is still marginally better.
| | White is Joueur 2
score: 0
pip: 125 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 79
score: 0
Blue is Joueur 1 |
|
| XGID=-aBBBBBBBAb-aa---a-bbbba--:1:-1:1:56:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 56 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 9/4 7/1* | eq: +1,109 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 81,76% (G:57,67% B:0,50%)
18,24% (G:4,03% B:0,12%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+1,103...+1,114) - [100,0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 25 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/4 8/2 | eq: +1,082 (-0,026) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 87,29% (G:39,03% B:0,31%)
12,71% (G:1,59% B:0,06%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+1,077...+1,087) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 57 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 8/3 8/2 | eq: +1,076 (-0,032) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 86,71% (G:40,08% B:0,28%)
13,29% (G:1,71% B:0,06%) | Conf.: ± 0,005 (+1,071...+1,082) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 34 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 8/3 7/1* | eq: +1,039 (-0,070) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80,63% (G:57,12% B:0,55%)
19,37% (G:6,79% B:0,63%) | Conf.: ± 0,008 (+1,030...+1,047) - [0,0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
Side question for Stick : usually I am waiting 3 -5 days before posting the rollout, depending on how many people have answered. I do appreciate your rollout and commentaries, but if you prefer quicker answer, let me know.