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Which Anchor - Five best plays

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 20 April 2026, at 6:04 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-01-26 - Which Anchor - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 191
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----bD-C---cD-b-c-e-AA-B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout124/21 22/18eq: -0.432
Player:
Opponent:		40.11% (G:8.15% B:0.31%)
59.89% (G:17.51% B:0.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.441...-0.423) - [87.6%]
Duration: 8 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 8/4eq: -0.439 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		40.44% (G:8.73% B:0.34%)
59.56% (G:18.52% B:0.77%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.448...-0.430) - [11.6%]
Duration: 8 minutes 37 seconds
3.Rollout224/21 24/20eq: -0.457 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent:		39.79% (G:8.04% B:0.31%)
60.21% (G:17.27% B:0.54%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.474...-0.440) - [0.4%]
Duration: 1 minute 58 seconds
4.Rollout224/21 13/9eq: -0.460 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		40.19% (G:8.39% B:0.35%)
59.81% (G:19.57% B:0.90%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.479...-0.441) - [0.3%]
Duration: 2 minutes 00 second
5.Rollout222/18 21/18eq: -0.478 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:		39.81% (G:7.52% B:0.30%)
60.19% (G:19.78% B:1.05%)		Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.496...-0.461) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 53 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are variants. Altogether, herein are five positions with five different best plays represented.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 191
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----bD-C---dD-b-c-d-AA-B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: A White 6pt spare is on her 13pt

1.Rollout122/18 21/18eq: -0.432
Player:
Opponent:		40.39% (G:7.45% B:0.27%)
59.61% (G:17.69% B:0.75%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.444...-0.421) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 00 minute
2.Rollout124/21 22/18eq: -0.461 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		39.06% (G:7.77% B:0.29%)
60.94% (G:16.12% B:0.58%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.473...-0.448) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 06 minutes
3.Rollout224/21 8/4eq: -0.480 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:		38.72% (G:8.05% B:0.29%)
61.28% (G:16.50% B:0.71%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.497...-0.464) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes
4.Rollout224/21 24/20eq: -0.481 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		38.66% (G:7.54% B:0.32%)
61.34% (G:16.13% B:0.48%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.497...-0.466) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
5.Rollout224/21 13/9eq: -0.507 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent:		38.58% (G:7.88% B:0.29%)
61.42% (G:17.92% B:0.84%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.526...-0.488) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 4779754
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 4779754
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 191
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----bD-C---cD-b-c-c-AAbB-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: Two White 6pt checkers are on her 2pt

1.Rollout124/21 8/4eq: -0.457
Player:
Opponent:		41.03% (G:8.55% B:0.34%)
58.97% (G:22.13% B:0.99%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.466...-0.448) - [93.3%]
Duration: 2 hours 30 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 24/20eq: -0.468 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		40.42% (G:8.18% B:0.32%)
59.58% (G:21.60% B:0.70%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.477...-0.459) - [5.1%]
Duration: 2 hours 28 minutes
3.Rollout124/21 13/9eq: -0.471 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		41.27% (G:8.44% B:0.34%)
58.73% (G:23.68% B:1.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.480...-0.462) - [1.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 32 minutes
4.Rollout224/21 22/18eq: -0.481 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:		39.95% (G:8.05% B:0.33%)
60.05% (G:20.87% B:0.77%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.492...-0.471) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 06 minutes
5.Rollout322/18 21/18eq: -0.498 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:		39.95% (G:7.88% B:0.33%)
60.05% (G:22.28% B:1.63%)		Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.516...-0.481) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 32 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 61075634
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 61075634
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 61075634
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 137
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 191
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----bD-C---cD---c-e-AAbB-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 10pt is changed to her 2pt

1.Rollout124/21 24/20eq: -0.393
Player:
Opponent:		42.79% (G:8.64% B:0.34%)
57.21% (G:23.10% B:0.62%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.403...-0.384) - [95.9%]
Duration: 2 hours 23 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 8/4eq: -0.406 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:		42.76% (G:9.02% B:0.37%)
57.24% (G:24.73% B:1.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.416...-0.396) - [3.6%]
Duration: 2 hours 17 minutes
3.Rollout124/21 13/9eq: -0.411 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		42.91% (G:8.88% B:0.36%)
57.09% (G:26.01% B:1.14%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.421...-0.401) - [0.4%]
Duration: 2 hours 15 minutes
4.Rollout224/21 22/18eq: -0.420 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		42.12% (G:8.63% B:0.36%)
57.88% (G:23.16% B:0.74%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.432...-0.407) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 08 minutes
5.Rollout322/18 21/18eq: -0.450 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent:		41.59% (G:8.15% B:0.34%)
58.41% (G:22.71% B:1.88%)		Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.470...-0.429) - [0.0%]
Duration: 37 minutes 53 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 40767767
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 40767767
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 40767767
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 191
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----bD-C---cD---c-g-AA-B-:0:0:1:43:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: Two White 10pt checkers are on her 6pt

1.Rollout124/21 13/9eq: -0.239
Player:
Opponent:		46.09% (G:10.10% B:0.43%)
53.91% (G:20.11% B:0.80%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.248...-0.230) - [68.2%]
Duration: 2 hours 11 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 8/4eq: -0.242 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:		45.59% (G:9.87% B:0.40%)
54.41% (G:19.20% B:0.68%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.251...-0.233) - [31.7%]
Duration: 2 hours 02 minutes
3.Rollout224/21 24/20eq: -0.260 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		45.17% (G:9.40% B:0.38%)
54.83% (G:18.63% B:0.56%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.272...-0.247) - [0.1%]
Duration: 24 minutes 38 seconds
4.Rollout224/21 22/18eq: -0.272 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		44.73% (G:9.18% B:0.35%)
55.27% (G:18.49% B:0.61%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.283...-0.260) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 35 seconds
5.Rollout322/18 21/18eq: -0.325 (-0.086)
Player:
Opponent:		43.77% (G:8.77% B:0.37%)
56.23% (G:19.77% B:1.20%)		Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.344...-0.306) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 53 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91642967
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91642967
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91642967
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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