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PotD 04-11-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 23 April 2026, at 6:18 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-11-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 84
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 132
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBC-BB---B-b--Bbbcaac-:1:1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout113/11 6/5eq: +0.730
Player:
Opponent:		69.42% (G:9.87% B:0.38%)
30.58% (G:10.21% B:0.10%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.721...+0.739) - [100.0%]
Duration: 31.0 seconds
2.Rollout113/12 13/11eq: +0.705 (-0.026)
Player:
Opponent:		68.09% (G:9.59% B:0.34%)
31.91% (G:9.80% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.692...+0.717) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33.6 seconds
3.Rollout16/3* eq: +0.676 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		68.46% (G:12.01% B:0.59%)
31.54% (G:14.11% B:0.10%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.666...+0.687) - [0.0%]
Duration: 38.1 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are contrasting variants.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 84
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 134
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBC-BB----Bb--Bbbcaac-:1:1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Blue's 13pt is changed to her 14pt

1.Rollout114/13 14/12eq: +0.700
Player:
Opponent:		68.01% (G:9.64% B:0.39%)
31.99% (G:9.75% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.693...+0.708) - [100.0%]
Duration: 17 minutes 12 seconds
2.Rollout114/11eq: +0.667 (-0.033)
Player:
Opponent:		67.03% (G:9.42% B:0.38%)
32.97% (G:9.58% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.659...+0.674) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 54 seconds
3.Rollout214/12 6/5eq: +0.657 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:		66.28% (G:9.48% B:0.36%)
33.72% (G:8.93% B:0.08%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.644...+0.670) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 41 seconds
4.Rollout214/13 6/4eq: +0.650 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		66.35% (G:9.26% B:0.36%)
33.65% (G:9.46% B:0.11%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.641...+0.660) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 54 seconds
5.Rollout26/3* eq: +0.624 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		65.93% (G:12.27% B:0.61%)
34.07% (G:15.70% B:0.10%)		Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.611...+0.636) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 17 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 66618975
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 66618975
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 90
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 132
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBC-BB---B-c--Bbbbaac-:1:1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 4pt spare is on her 10pt

1.Rollout16/3* eq: +0.654
Player:
Opponent:		68.26% (G:11.92% B:0.46%)
31.74% (G:13.08% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.650...+0.659) - [99.9%]
Duration: 29 minutes 20 seconds
2.Rollout113/11 6/5eq: +0.644 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		67.46% (G:9.11% B:0.32%)
32.54% (G:10.37% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.639...+0.649) - [0.1%]
Duration: 24 minutes 44 seconds
3.Rollout213/12 13/11eq: +0.601 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		65.84% (G:8.66% B:0.31%)
34.16% (G:9.74% B:0.08%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.593...+0.608) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 22 seconds
4.Rollout213/12 6/4eq: +0.600 (-0.054)
Player:
Opponent:		65.33% (G:8.94% B:0.32%)
34.67% (G:9.62% B:0.08%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.589...+0.610) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 24 seconds
5.Rollout213/10eq: +0.588 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		65.21% (G:9.33% B:0.36%)
34.79% (G:10.02% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.578...+0.597) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 36 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 434344
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 434344
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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