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ROLLOUT: 5a 5a cube from the bar

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Thursday, 23 April 2026, at 10:28 p.m.

In Response To: 5a 5a cube from the bar (ah_clem)

I missed this one over the board. Maybe I would have gotten it right had it been presented as a quiz, maybe not. But it's not just a a cube, it's a pretty clear pass according to the rollout, although XGR++ has taking at only an 8 millipoint error. Previous comments explain it better than I can.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
5 point match
pip: 181
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-c-B-BBBa----B---b-bdBAcAA:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:5:9
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.47% (G:27.74% B:2.18%) 70.69% (G:28.01% B:2.50%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.53% (G:13.03% B:0.76%) 29.31% (G:13.15% B:1.02%)
Cubeless Equities +0.561 +1.194
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.835 (-0.165)±0.016 (+0.819..+0.851)
Double/Take:+1.076 (+0.076)±0.024 (+1.053..+1.100)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 15 minutes 08 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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