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Position of the Day 04-20-26 - Pointless Double - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 24 April 2026, at 9:47 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-20-26 - Pointless Double (Stick)

See cusp variant below.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 151
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 121
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=----BBC-A--AcD---cdeA---A-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.61% (G:16.06% B:0.38%) 74.61% (G:16.27% B:0.41%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.39% (G:3.65% B:0.12%) 25.39% (G:3.98% B:0.13%)
Cubeless Equities +0.619 +1.236
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.915 (-0.085)±0.010 (+0.905..+0.925)
Double/Take:+1.056 (+0.056)±0.024 (+1.032..+1.080)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 50.9 seconds

Cusp Variant
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 121
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=----BBCA-AA-cC---cdeA---A-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.59% (G:13.68% B:0.35%) 73.79% (G:14.41% B:0.38%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.41% (G:4.09% B:0.12%) 26.21% (G:4.45% B:0.14%)
Cubeless Equities +0.570 +1.156
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.878 (-0.115)±0.004 (+0.874..+0.882)
Double/Take:+0.992±0.007 (+0.986..+0.999)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.008)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:98.9%
Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds

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