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Yes, no, later? - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 25 April 2026, at 8:53 p.m.

In Response To: Yes, no, later ? - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 123
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 79
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBBBBAb-aa---a-bbabb--:1:-1:1:56:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout19/4 7/1* eq: +1.094
Player:
Opponent:
81.23% (G:57.59% B:1.37%)
18.77% (G:4.62% B:0.14%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+1.088...+1.100) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13.1 seconds
2.Rollout19/4 8/2eq: +1.063 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:
86.82% (G:38.14% B:0.22%)
13.18% (G:1.72% B:0.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+1.058...+1.067) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12.0 seconds
3.Rollout18/3 8/2eq: +1.058 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
86.61% (G:38.41% B:0.24%)
13.39% (G:1.84% B:0.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.054...+1.062) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12.9 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are two variants.

In the first, White's pipcount is the same as in the original position (but primier) and you shouldn't hit even though you can do so while keeping your six-prime intact.

In the second, White's pipcount is 3 pips smaller and you shouldn't hit.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 123
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 77
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBBCB---a-a-abbcbb----:1:-1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Blue's 9pt checker is on his 7pt,
White's pipcount matches the original

1.Rollout18/3 8/2eq: +0.760
Player:
Opponent:
81.92% (G:18.85% B:0.04%)
18.08% (G:1.79% B:0.07%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.757...+0.763) - [100.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 27 seconds
2.Rollout18/3 7/1* eq: +0.744 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
74.59% (G:37.87% B:0.15%)
25.41% (G:3.34% B:0.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.740...+0.747) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 11 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 434344
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 120
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 79
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBBBBAb-a---aa-bbabb--:1:-1:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 12pt checker is on her 9pt

1.Rollout19/4 8/2eq: +0.998
Player:
Opponent:
86.39% (G:32.85% B:0.15%)
13.61% (G:1.80% B:0.06%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.996...+1.000) - [87.4%]
Duration: 10 minutes 27 seconds
2.Rollout18/3 8/2eq: +0.996 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
86.19% (G:33.11% B:0.15%)
13.81% (G:1.96% B:0.07%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.994...+0.998) - [12.6%]
Duration: 11 minutes 03 seconds
3.Rollout19/4 7/1* eq: +0.984 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:
79.03% (G:52.41% B:0.99%)
20.97% (G:5.39% B:0.17%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.982...+0.987) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 00 second
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 66618975
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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