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How to play the last ace - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 25 April 2026, at 10:21 p.m.

In Response To: RO - setttings + Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 89
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 76
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBB-DC-------b-ab-bcbb-aA:1:1:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout1Bar/24* 24/23 5/4(2)eq: +0.781
Player:
Opponent:
65.82% (G:25.75% B:0.11%)
34.18% (G:3.53% B:0.10%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.779...+0.783) - [99.7%]
Duration: 8 minutes 46 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24* 6/4 5/4eq: +0.776 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent:
66.13% (G:25.00% B:0.11%)
33.87% (G:2.80% B:0.08%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.774...+0.779) - [0.3%]
Duration: 8 minutes 32 seconds
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of John's original position.

Below are two variants having subtle checker differences with results that are miles apart.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 92
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 76
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBB-DC------ab--b-bcbb-aA:1:1:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 9pt checker is on her 12pt

1.Rollout1Bar/24* 6/4 5/4eq: +0.797
Player:
Opponent:
64.64% (G:30.60% B:0.15%)
35.36% (G:2.86% B:0.08%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.791...+0.804) - [98.8%]
Duration: 7 minutes 48 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24* 24/23 5/4(2)eq: +0.787 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
64.60% (G:29.65% B:0.13%)
35.40% (G:3.59% B:0.10%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.780...+0.793) - [1.2%]
Duration: 8 minutes 06 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 434344
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 91
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 76
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CBB-DC------b--ab-bcbb-aA:1:1:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: White's 11pt is changed to her 12pt

1.Rollout1Bar/24* 24/23 5/4(2)eq: +0.802
Player:
Opponent:
65.43% (G:27.43% B:0.11%)
34.57% (G:3.39% B:0.09%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.790...+0.814) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 16 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/24* 6/4 5/4eq: +0.713 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:
64.14% (G:26.70% B:0.09%)
35.86% (G:3.21% B:0.09%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.699...+0.726) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 57 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 66618975
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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