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Just for comparison 3 Ply Score based

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 3 February 2007, at 5:13 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Th. Feb 1st (Stick)

All of you can check on my site (and already knew) that running out 24/14 is correct for money. Black Swan raised the question of whether or not this seemingly minor score difference, even though there's still a long way to go, could have an effect. I believe at this point it can have an effect but not enough of one to swing plays like this. The rollout for money has running best, making the 2 pt. next, and the split a close third. This is accurate with Snowie's 3 ply evaluation of an opening 3-1 6-4 response.

Below I've included Snowie's 3 ply at this score, interesting that splitting has moved into 2nd. I will not roll out opening move plays (esp. at this score which doesn't come up often enough and I'd have a hard time believing the results if they did happen to vary) as even I don't have that much free time.


Match to 25, White leads 14 to 10
163
167
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 3 24/14 -0.276
0.5% 10.2% 42.8% 57.2% 18.8% 0.8%
Speed Parameter: Precise.
2 3 24/18 13/9 -0.288 (-0.013)
0.6% 11.2% 42.6% 57.4% 20.6% 1.0%
Speed Parameter: Precise.
3 3 8/2 6/2 -0.308 (-0.032)
0.7% 12.4% 40.9% 59.1% 19.3% 1.1%
Speed Parameter: Precise.

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