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PotD04-24-26 - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 28 April 2026, at 1:34 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 04-24-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 105 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 119 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--CBCaBB---A--B-cd-bbb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	73.54% (G:16.37% B:0.41%)	74.49% (G:18.26% B:0.43%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	26.46% (G:6.49% B:0.25%)	25.51% (G:6.82% B:0.25%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.571	+1.212
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.749 (-0.251)	±0.008 (+0.742..+0.757)
Double/Take:	+1.060 (+0.060)	±0.014 (+1.046..+1.074)
Double/Pass:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 22.9 seconds

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a cusp variant.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 105 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 121 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--BBDaBB---A--B-cd-bbb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: Blue's 4pt spare is on her 6pt

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	72.05% (G:16.03% B:0.43%)	73.54% (G:17.89% B:0.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	27.95% (G:6.72% B:0.25%)	26.46% (G:7.45% B:0.27%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.536	+1.155
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.723 (-0.273)	±0.004 (+0.719..+0.727)
Double/Take:	+0.996	±0.007 (+0.989..+1.003)
Double/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.004)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 54143744 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		87.8%
Duration: 15 minutes 06 seconds

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 04-24-26
  Stick -- Sunday, 26 April 2026, at 12:55 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 04-24-26
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 26 April 2026, at 4:35 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 04-24-26
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 26 April 2026, at 6:23 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 04-24-26
    ah_clem -- Sunday, 26 April 2026, at 11:53 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 04-24-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Monday, 27 April 2026, at 11:32 a.m.
    • PotD04-24-26 - Variant
      Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 28 April 2026, at 1:34 p.m.