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Bot Battle #135

Posted By: OpenWheel
Date: Tuesday, 28 April 2026, at 6:54 p.m.

In Response To: Bot Battle #135 (Jason Lee)

I think I'm wrong as I see nobody else is doubling. But since I intend to start gathering some ref positions very soon similiar to this. With 17 shots, 15, etc. Thought I'll give it a try.

I see 6/5-1-2-3 or 12 numbers leave shots, 32, 21 are poor. The rest work well for Blue, either large nos or hits, so 20 good numbers, 15 which are great. If white wins all of her hits on our shot leaving rolls, owning the cube, thats near 4 wins, and if White wins half of her missed shots and half the remaining of our poor numbers, thats 8 wins. So 12 wins for white. So an easy take. White maybe wins an extra owning the cube and also fly shots, so guessing 13/13.5 wins. Or 23-ish wins? 64% to 36% . So, after all that, I still don't know... I think the market losers are large enough at that win percentage. Even giving up the cube. Not sure there are enough races left outside of the hits to make cube the decider. If white could cube on her shot opportunity I'd go the other way and ND, but if ours may not be a cube, than White's isn't.

I guess I double. Marginal. D/T

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