Well, another way you know it's a good problem is when virtually everyone comes up with a different answer with most being wrong. In all fairness, the other plays aren't generally big errors but my guess ahead of time is most people would play the 'natural' bar/22.
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 6/4 | eq: -0.514 |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.38% (G:9.80% B:0.43%) 61.62% (G:21.80% B:2.02%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.523...-0.506) - [99.8%] Duration: 2 minutes 14 seconds |
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| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 11/10 | eq: -0.537 (-0.023) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.75% (G:9.57% B:0.41%) 62.25% (G:21.30% B:1.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.547...-0.528) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 19 seconds |
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| 3. | Rollout2 | Bar/24 11/9 | eq: -0.543 (-0.028) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.03% (G:9.76% B:0.41%) 62.97% (G:20.07% B:1.74%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.559...-0.526) - [0.2%] Duration: 47.3 seconds |
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| 4. | Rollout3 | Bar/23 24/23 | eq: -0.548 (-0.034) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.03% (G:8.73% B:0.32%) 63.97% (G:16.74% B:0.96%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.559...-0.538) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 39 seconds |
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| 5. | Rollout2 | Bar/22 | eq: -0.551 (-0.037) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.18% (G:9.57% B:0.42%) 62.82% (G:21.64% B:1.08%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.565...-0.537) - [0.0%] Duration: 48.4 seconds |
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| 6. | Rollout2 | Bar/23 6/5 | eq: -0.557 (-0.043) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.28% (G:9.97% B:0.46%) 62.72% (G:22.00% B:1.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.021 (-0.578...-0.537) - [0.0%] Duration: 51.4 seconds |
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| 7. | Rollout2 | Bar/23 10/9 | eq: -0.588 (-0.074) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.33% (G:9.47% B:0.41%) 63.67% (G:21.31% B:1.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.604...-0.573) - [0.0%] Duration: 47.3 seconds |
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| 8. | Rollout2 | Bar/24 10/8 | eq: -0.595 (-0.080) |
| Player: Opponent: | 35.82% (G:8.88% B:0.36%) 64.18% (G:19.65% B:1.47%) | Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.615...-0.574) - [0.0%] Duration: 46.0 seconds |
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1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
3 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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