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Position of the Day 05-02-26 - Hit or no Hit - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 7 May 2026, at 10:38 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-02-26 - Hit or no Hit (Stick)

Another pocket of problems that hasn't really been unearthed fully publicly afaik. Unsurprisingly, lots of details factor in to whether to hit or not. (which backgame is the opponent playing, how is his timing, where is the blot that we're potentially hitting, does hitting the 'extra' checker allow the opponent to more easily make another anchor, blah, blah, blah...)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bbCB-B-BB--bB--Ab-d-baA--:1:-1:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout123/22* 16/13eq: +0.327
Player:
Opponent:
60.78% (G:29.67% B:4.48%)
39.22% (G:6.03% B:0.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.313...+0.340) - [99.8%]
Duration: 53.3 seconds
2.Rollout123/22* 9/6eq: +0.298 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
59.36% (G:30.57% B:5.49%)
40.64% (G:6.96% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.283...+0.313) - [0.2%]
Duration: 52.8 seconds
3.Rollout123/20 16/15eq: +0.259 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
61.53% (G:26.37% B:2.84%)
38.47% (G:10.11% B:0.48%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.248...+0.271) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42.1 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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