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Hit or no Hit - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 9 May 2026, at 6:12 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-02-26 - Hit or no Hit - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 128
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bbCB-B-BB--bB--Ab-d-baA--:1:-1:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout123/22* 16/13eq: +0.327
Player:
Opponent:
60.78% (G:29.67% B:4.48%)
39.22% (G:6.03% B:0.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.313...+0.340) - [99.8%]
Duration: 53.3 seconds
2.Rollout123/22* 9/6eq: +0.298 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
59.36% (G:30.57% B:5.49%)
40.64% (G:6.96% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.283...+0.313) - [0.2%]
Duration: 52.8 seconds
3.Rollout123/20 16/15eq: +0.259 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
61.53% (G:26.37% B:2.84%)
38.47% (G:10.11% B:0.48%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.248...+0.271) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42.1 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a contrasting variant.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 124
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bbCB-BBB---bB--Ab-d-baA--:1:-1:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: Blue's 9pt is changed to his 7pt

1.Rollout123/20 16/15eq: +0.476
Player:
Opponent:
66.99% (G:30.52% B:3.67%)
33.01% (G:7.01% B:0.35%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.463...+0.488) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 42 seconds
2.Rollout123/22* 16/13eq: +0.435 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
63.54% (G:32.32% B:4.80%)
36.46% (G:4.86% B:0.22%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.422...+0.448) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 52 seconds
3.Rollout123/22* 13/10eq: +0.409 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent:
62.63% (G:32.77% B:5.72%)
37.37% (G:6.01% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.396...+0.423) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 47 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 9196576
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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