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Position of the Day 05-05-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 10 May 2026, at 5:50 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-05-26 (Stick)

Another boring scenario of me playing XG. I cubed here and XG took. Again, within' that one second of the cube action I was shocked. My 1 second analysis sure didn't feel like this was a take. Given more time we see [65 65 55 51] all leave a direct shot. Then [64 52 31 11] leave a good chunk of indirect shots. Lastly [61 41] are relatively safe but leave a far from gin position. Without doing the breakdown that must add up to making this a tight decision.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 119
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 112
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BBABBC---bB--bAbbbbb---:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.77% (G:12.62% B:0.18%) 74.91% (G:12.07% B:0.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.23% (G:4.73% B:0.13%) 25.09% (G:5.00% B:0.14%)
Cubeless Equities +0.555 +1.139
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.769 (-0.222)±0.003 (+0.765..+0.772)
Redouble/Take:+0.991±0.006 (+0.985..+0.997)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.009)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:99.8%
Duration: 3 minutes 16 seconds

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