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Rollout

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 11 May 2026, at 12:54 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action at the score? (John O'Hagan)

The trailer's gammonless takepoint ATS in anything but a last roll position is a little over 20%. White's small g chances lowers this to just under 18%. White's winning chances here are ~17% so it's a pass.





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 97
13 point match
pip: 99
score: 11

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-CBBBBb-B--B-----babbcb-:0:0:1:00:11:3:0:13:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 82.24% (G:17.95% B:0.84%) 83.01% (G:13.00% B:0.61%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 17.76% (G:1.70% B:0.01%) 16.99% (G:1.47% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.884 +1.643
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.949 (-0.051)±0.007 (+0.942..+0.956)
Double/Take:+1.078 (+0.078)±0.014 (+1.064..+1.092)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
First 12 moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 4-ply
Search interval: Large
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 41 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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