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Position of the Day 05-08-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 14 May 2026, at 3:21 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-08-26 (Stick)

By the skin of your teeth you skated by with someone mentioning the best play ... but maybe because Chuck was trying to keep you in the game by listing the encyclopedia of plays for this problem. I've included all listed plays in the rollout, even the most dubious. It's always going to be a tough problem with doubles and so many choices. Trying to boil it down here I'd say the opponent is pretty inflexible and likely to leave blots/shots in the immediate future. Having a stronger board for all those shots is the way to go.

DMP rollout below also so John can sleep at night.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 149 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-C---eC-A-c-f--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	15/11 8/4(3)	eq: +0.506
	Player: Opponent: 59.69% (G:25.19% B:0.57%) 40.31% (G:9.03% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.490...+0.521) - [100.0%] Duration: 51.4 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/18 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.459 (-0.047)
	Player: Opponent: 59.82% (G:21.66% B:0.72%) 40.18% (G:9.25% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.443...+0.474) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 01 second
3.	Rollout1	8/4(2) 6/2(2)	eq: +0.441 (-0.064)
	Player: Opponent: 58.72% (G:24.17% B:0.55%) 41.28% (G:9.39% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.428...+0.455) - [0.0%] Duration: 51.3 seconds
4.	Rollout1	22/10 15/11	eq: +0.431 (-0.075)
	Player: Opponent: 60.27% (G:17.04% B:0.57%) 39.73% (G:8.24% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.417...+0.444) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 08 seconds
5.	Rollout1	24/20 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.369 (-0.137)
	Player: Opponent: 57.63% (G:20.39% B:0.57%) 42.37% (G:9.05% B:0.44%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.355...+0.382) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 00 second
6.	Rollout1	15/11 13/9(3)	eq: +0.288 (-0.218)
	Player: Opponent: 56.00% (G:18.06% B:0.63%) 44.00% (G:8.94% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.272...+0.303) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 07 seconds
7.	Rollout1	24/20 15/11 13/5	eq: +0.274 (-0.232)
	Player: Opponent: 55.88% (G:17.04% B:0.54%) 44.12% (G:9.58% B:0.43%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.260...+0.287) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

---

DMP

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 149 1 point match pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-C---eC-A-c-f--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	22/10 15/11	eq: +0.207
	Player: Opponent: 60.35% (G:18.20% B:1.79%) 39.65% (G:8.78% B:0.68%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.202...+0.212) - [100.0%] Duration: 58.4 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/18 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.195 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 59.75% (G:21.68% B:2.24%) 40.25% (G:10.13% B:0.85%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.190...+0.200) - [0.0%] Duration: 55.9 seconds
3.	Rollout1	15/11 8/4(3)	eq: +0.190 (-0.017)
	Player: Opponent: 59.52% (G:23.92% B:2.00%) 40.48% (G:9.68% B:0.98%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.186...+0.195) - [0.0%] Duration: 48.6 seconds
4.	Rollout1	8/4(2) 6/2(2)	eq: +0.178 (-0.029)
	Player: Opponent: 58.90% (G:23.84% B:2.07%) 41.10% (G:10.55% B:1.39%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.173...+0.183) - [0.0%] Duration: 48.7 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 05-08-26
  Stick -- Monday, 11 May 2026, at 6:49 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 05-08-26
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 11 May 2026, at 8:42 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 05-08-26
    ah_clem -- Monday, 11 May 2026, at 11:41 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 05-08-26
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 12 May 2026, at 3:55 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 05-08-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 14 May 2026, at 3:21 p.m.