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PotD 05-08-26 - Encyclopedia of best plays

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 17 May 2026, at 2:41 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-08-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 149 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-C---eC-A-c-f--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	15/11 8/4(3)	eq: +0.506
	Player: Opponent: 59.69% (G:25.19% B:0.57%) 40.31% (G:9.03% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.490...+0.521) - [100.0%] Duration: 51.4 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/18 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.459 (-0.047)
	Player: Opponent: 59.82% (G:21.66% B:0.72%) 40.18% (G:9.25% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.443...+0.474) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 01 second
3.	Rollout1	8/4(2) 6/2(2)	eq: +0.441 (-0.064)
	Player: Opponent: 58.72% (G:24.17% B:0.55%) 41.28% (G:9.39% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.428...+0.455) - [0.0%] Duration: 51.3 seconds
4.	Rollout1	22/10 15/11	eq: +0.431 (-0.075)
	Player: Opponent: 60.27% (G:17.04% B:0.57%) 39.73% (G:8.24% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.417...+0.444) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 08 seconds
5.	Rollout1	24/20 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.369 (-0.137)
	Player: Opponent: 57.63% (G:20.39% B:0.57%) 42.37% (G:9.05% B:0.44%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.355...+0.382) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 00 second
6.	Rollout1	15/11 13/9(3)	eq: +0.288 (-0.218)
	Player: Opponent: 56.00% (G:18.06% B:0.63%) 44.00% (G:8.94% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.272...+0.303) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 07 seconds
7.	Rollout1	24/20 15/11 13/5	eq: +0.274 (-0.232)
	Player: Opponent: 55.88% (G:17.04% B:0.54%) 44.12% (G:9.58% B:0.43%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.260...+0.287) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 06 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are variants. Altogether, seven positions with seven different best plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---a-BD-C---eC-A-c-f--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 24pt checker is on her 22pt

1.	Rollout1	15/11 13/9(3)	eq: +0.395
	Player: Opponent: 58.08% (G:20.80% B:0.74%) 41.92% (G:8.76% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.387...+0.404) - [99.9%] Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes
2.	Rollout1	15/3* 13/9	eq: +0.375 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 57.20% (G:22.70% B:0.65%) 42.80% (G:10.38% B:0.62%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.366...+0.385) - [0.1%] Duration: 1 hour 13 minutes
3.	Rollout2	24/20 15/3*	eq: +0.368 (-0.027)
	Player: Opponent: 57.56% (G:19.31% B:0.53%) 42.44% (G:8.79% B:0.38%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.359...+0.378) - [0.0%] Duration: 46 minutes 16 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/9(2) 13/5	eq: +0.363 (-0.032)
	Player: Opponent: 57.15% (G:21.13% B:0.69%) 42.85% (G:9.31% B:0.45%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.351...+0.375) - [0.0%] Duration: 42 minutes 04 seconds
5.	Rollout3	15/11 8/4(3)	eq: +0.353 (-0.042)
	Player: Opponent: 56.46% (G:23.07% B:0.57%) 43.54% (G:8.48% B:0.42%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.337...+0.369) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 51 seconds
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 97211661 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 97211661 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 97211661 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-C---eC-A-c-e-aA-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: A White 6pt spare is on her 4pt

1.	Rollout1	8/4(2) 5/1*(2)	eq: +0.427
	Player: Opponent: 56.66% (G:28.17% B:0.50%) 43.34% (G:11.32% B:0.72%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.415...+0.439) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 32 seconds
2.	Rollout1	15/11 8/4(3)	eq: +0.362 (-0.065)
	Player: Opponent: 56.77% (G:22.76% B:0.55%) 43.23% (G:10.40% B:0.55%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.345...+0.379) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 52 seconds
3.	Rollout1	22/10 15/11	eq: +0.344 (-0.083)
	Player: Opponent: 58.26% (G:15.86% B:0.51%) 41.74% (G:9.63% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.333...+0.356) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 59 seconds
4.	Rollout1	15/11 13/9 8/4(2)	eq: +0.339 (-0.088)
	Player: Opponent: 56.74% (G:23.56% B:0.63%) 43.26% (G:11.44% B:0.76%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.325...+0.354) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 51 seconds
5.	Rollout1	8/4(2) 6/2(2)	eq: +0.328 (-0.099)
	Player: Opponent: 56.27% (G:22.87% B:0.59%) 43.73% (G:11.03% B:0.61%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.311...+0.344) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 38 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 81332006 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 139 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-C---cC-A-e-f--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Two White 13pt spares are on her 6pt

1.	Rollout1	8/4(2) 6/2(2)	eq: +0.361
	Player: Opponent: 56.93% (G:21.79% B:0.66%) 43.07% (G:10.84% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.347...+0.376) - [100.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 36 seconds
2.	Rollout1	15/11 8/4(3)	eq: +0.323 (-0.038)
	Player: Opponent: 56.44% (G:21.43% B:0.50%) 43.56% (G:10.58% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.309...+0.337) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 25 seconds
3.	Rollout1	15/11 13/9 8/4(2)	eq: +0.311 (-0.050)
	Player: Opponent: 56.12% (G:21.78% B:0.62%) 43.88% (G:11.59% B:0.75%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.297...+0.325) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 37 seconds
4.	Rollout1	22/10 15/11	eq: +0.298 (-0.064)
	Player: Opponent: 57.24% (G:14.99% B:0.56%) 42.76% (G:9.88% B:0.34%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.285...+0.310) - [0.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 29 seconds
5.	Rollout1	22/18 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.284 (-0.077)
	Player: Opponent: 56.45% (G:18.40% B:0.58%) 43.55% (G:11.54% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.268...+0.301) - [0.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 55 seconds
6.	Rollout1	8/4(2) 5/1*(2)	eq: +0.282 (-0.079)
	Player: Opponent: 54.84% (G:23.82% B:0.34%) 45.16% (G:11.63% B:0.72%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.268...+0.296) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 14 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 53435339 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 155 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-C---eC-Abc-d--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: Two White 6pt spares are on her 9pt

1.	Rollout1	22/10 15/11	eq: +0.234
	Player: Opponent: 55.26% (G:14.60% B:0.42%) 44.74% (G:8.32% B:0.31%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.226...+0.242) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 23 minutes
2.	Rollout1	15/11 8/4(3)	eq: +0.209 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 52.91% (G:20.94% B:0.35%) 47.09% (G:9.59% B:0.46%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.200...+0.218) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 06 minutes
3.	Rollout2	22/18 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.201 (-0.032)
	Player: Opponent: 53.65% (G:18.00% B:0.47%) 46.35% (G:9.88% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.188...+0.215) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 11 seconds
4.	Rollout2	8/4(2) 6/2(2)	eq: +0.175 (-0.059)
	Player: Opponent: 52.20% (G:19.60% B:0.42%) 47.80% (G:9.95% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.160...+0.189) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 43 seconds
1 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 99134964 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 99134964 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 160 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 158 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b---BD-C---dC-A-c-f--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 5: A White 13pt spare is back on her 24pt

1.	Rollout1	22/18 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.731
	Player: Opponent: 65.52% (G:24.59% B:1.70%) 34.48% (G:9.15% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.723...+0.738) - [99.3%] Duration: 52 minutes 58 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/4(2) 6/2(2)	eq: +0.717 (-0.013)
	Player: Opponent: 64.96% (G:25.68% B:1.51%) 35.04% (G:8.93% B:0.46%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.710...+0.725) - [0.7%] Duration: 45 minutes 04 seconds
3.	Rollout1	22/10 15/11	eq: +0.711 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 66.21% (G:19.54% B:1.36%) 33.79% (G:7.74% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.703...+0.719) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 07 minutes
4.	Rollout2	15/11 8/4(3)	eq: +0.707 (-0.023)
	Player: Opponent: 64.41% (G:24.57% B:1.93%) 35.59% (G:9.06% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.697...+0.718) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 34 seconds
5.	Rollout3	15/11 13/9 8/4(2)	eq: +0.667 (-0.064)
	Player: Opponent: 63.64% (G:26.17% B:1.69%) 36.36% (G:9.91% B:0.63%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.654...+0.680) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 00 second
6.	Rollout3	24/20 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.654 (-0.077)
	Player: Opponent: 64.16% (G:23.37% B:1.35%) 35.84% (G:9.13% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.640...+0.668) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 14 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 96595123 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 96595123 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 96595123 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 149 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 160 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BC-D---eC-A-c-f--A-A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 6: A Blue 6pt spare is on her 8pt

1.	Rollout1	15/11 13/9 8/4(2)	eq: +0.575
	Player: Opponent: 61.78% (G:23.71% B:0.72%) 38.22% (G:9.42% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.567...+0.582) - [100.0%] Duration: 55 minutes 56 seconds
2.	Rollout1	22/18 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.556 (-0.019)
	Player: Opponent: 62.35% (G:21.07% B:0.70%) 37.65% (G:8.78% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.548...+0.564) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
3.	Rollout2	24/20 15/11 8/4(2)	eq: +0.510 (-0.065)
	Player: Opponent: 61.14% (G:20.09% B:0.60%) 38.86% (G:8.49% B:0.37%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.495...+0.524) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 15 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/5 8/4(2)	eq: +0.501 (-0.074)
	Player: Opponent: 60.06% (G:24.12% B:0.62%) 39.94% (G:9.76% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.485...+0.516) - [0.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 46 seconds
5.	Rollout2	8/4(2) 5/1*(2)	eq: +0.500 (-0.074)
	Player: Opponent: 59.24% (G:26.20% B:0.35%) 40.76% (G:9.12% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.485...+0.516) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 32 seconds
6.	Rollout2	15/7 8/4(2)	eq: +0.480 (-0.095)
	Player: Opponent: 59.73% (G:22.14% B:0.67%) 40.27% (G:9.87% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.466...+0.493) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 02 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31750994 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 31750994 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 05-08-26
  Stick -- Monday, 11 May 2026, at 6:49 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 05-08-26
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 11 May 2026, at 8:42 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 05-08-26
    ah_clem -- Monday, 11 May 2026, at 11:41 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 05-08-26
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 12 May 2026, at 3:55 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 05-08-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Thursday, 14 May 2026, at 3:21 p.m.
    • PotD 05-08-26 - Encyclopedia of best plays
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 17 May 2026, at 2:41 a.m.