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BGonline.org Forums
Deep Snake Cube Position #2 (Spoilier RO)
Posted By: Frank Berger In Response To: Deep Snake Cube Position #2 (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 19 May 2026, at 9:43 p.m.
The same pattern here, the value of the outfield prime isn't recognized at all.
1. Rollout¹ 12/6* 10/6 eq:+0,512
Player: 79,06% (G:9,09% B:0,31%)
Opponent: 20,94% (G:10,70% B:1,07%)
Confidence: ±0,025 (+0,488..+0,537) - [100,0%]
Duration: 48,7 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 18/12 15/11 eq:+0,217 (-0,296)
Player: 69,32% (G:9,19% B:0,35%)
Opponent: 30,68% (G:19,73% B:1,46%)
Confidence: ±0,053 (+0,164..+0,269) - [0,0%]
Duration: 59,5 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 24/20 18/12 eq:+0,082 (-0,431)
Player: 64,53% (G:7,78% B:0,28%)
Opponent: 35,47% (G:23,40% B:0,34%)
Confidence: ±0,054 (+0,027..+0,136) - [0,0%]
Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 59890281
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Search interval: Huge
the moves that BGBlitz prefers 18/12 15/11 and 24/20 18/12 are again not even in the 32 moves list of XG but moves like: 9/3,7/3. Making a 6-prime is a 0,300 error??
a plain rollout 3-ply rollout gives:
top: Green 57 Pos-ID: /t4BAAHAti0iMA bot: Red 183
Moneygame
Red to move 6-4
Move : 15-11, 18-12
Wins G+BG BG Green: 11.88% 2.93% 0.00% Red: 88.12% 9.18% 0.23% Equity Red 0.827 Number of Games: 1296 95% Confidence Interval: 0.782 / 0.872 rollout type cubeless
Wins G+BG BG Green: 13.27% 2.47% 0.00% Red: 86.73% 9.03% 0.23% Equity Red 0.769 Number of Games: 1296 95% Confidence Interval: 0.707 / 0.832 rollout type cubeful
Move : 24-20, 18-12
Wins G+BG BG Green: 12.58% 2.85% 0.00% Red: 87.42% 7.41% 0.31% Equity Red 0.797 Number of Games: 1296 95% Confidence Interval: 0.752 / 0.842 rollout type cubeless
Wins G+BG BG Green: 14.20% 2.16% 0.00% Red: 85.80% 7.18% 0.31% Equity Red 0.776 Number of Games: 1296 95% Confidence Interval: 0.721 / 0.831 rollout type cubeful
Move : 10-6, 12-6
Wins G+BG BG Green: 17.28% 7.87% 0.54% Red: 82.72% 10.11% 0.15% Equity Red 0.673 Number of Games: 1296 95% Confidence Interval: 0.615 / 0.731 rollout type cubeless
Wins G+BG BG Green: 19.52% 5.94% 0.46% Red: 80.48% 9.49% 0.15% Equity Red 0.645 Number of Games: 1296 95% Confidence Interval: 0.574 / 0.716 rollout type cubeful so ah_clem, you're on the right track, making the 6 is a blunder
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