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Position of the Day 05-15-26 - Rollout OUCH!

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 23 May 2026, at 2:34 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-15-26 (Stick)

Nobody even mentioned the possibility of a beaver.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 77
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aABCCBC-----a----ccbbb-Aa-:1:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 57.08% (G:8.49% B:0.28%) 57.20% (G:8.73% B:0.30%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 42.92% (G:17.31% B:0.16%) 42.80% (G:17.03% B:0.14%)
Cubeless Equities +0.055 +0.125
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.318±0.010 (+0.308..+0.327)
Redouble/Beaver:-0.196 (-0.514)±0.033 (-0.229..-0.162)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.682)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Beaver
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 30.0%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 23.5 seconds

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