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PotD05-18-26 - Variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 7 June 2026, at 2:05 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 05-18-26 - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Aa---DbC---cF---cae----A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout113/10 6/1eq: -0.020
Player:
Opponent:		49.09% (G:13.26% B:0.38%)
50.91% (G:13.42% B:0.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.034...-0.005) - [100.0%]
Duration: 57.7 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 6/1eq: -0.109 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		47.86% (G:11.85% B:0.35%)
52.14% (G:15.83% B:0.44%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.123...-0.095) - [0.0%]
Duration: 57.3 seconds
3.Rollout124/16eq: -0.138 (-0.119)
Player:
Opponent:		47.32% (G:9.60% B:0.33%)
52.68% (G:16.08% B:0.45%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.152...-0.125) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 00 second
4.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: -0.141 (-0.121)
Player:
Opponent:		46.84% (G:12.86% B:0.37%)
53.16% (G:16.14% B:0.56%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.156...-0.126) - [0.0%]
Duration: 57.9 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are contrasting variants. Altogether, four positions with four different best plays.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Aa---DbC---cF---cacb---A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: Two White 6pt checkers are on her 5pt

1.Rollout124/16eq: -0.445
Player:
Opponent:		40.41% (G:7.59% B:0.24%)
59.59% (G:20.30% B:0.59%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.456...-0.435) - [100.0%]
Duration: 46 minutes 30 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 6/1eq: -0.477 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		39.45% (G:9.40% B:0.28%)
60.55% (G:21.11% B:0.57%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.487...-0.466) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45 minutes 29 seconds
3.Rollout213/10 6/1eq: -0.496 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:		38.03% (G:10.17% B:0.27%)
61.97% (G:18.28% B:0.62%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.511...-0.481) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 36 seconds
4.Rollout224/21 13/8eq: -0.557 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent:		38.06% (G:9.16% B:0.34%)
61.94% (G:22.86% B:0.72%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.571...-0.543) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 52 seconds
5.Rollout28/3 6/3eq: -0.573 (-0.127)
Player:
Opponent:		37.10% (G:10.16% B:0.25%)
62.90% (G:21.63% B:0.70%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.588...-0.557) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 43 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19088718
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19088718
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 160
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Aa---DbC---cF---cbd----A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: Two White 6pt checkers are on her 7pt

1.Rollout124/21 6/1eq: -0.190
Player:
Opponent:		45.97% (G:11.16% B:0.30%)
54.03% (G:16.31% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.206...-0.174) - [99.5%]
Duration: 28 minutes 31 seconds
2.Rollout124/16eq: -0.217 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		45.56% (G:9.07% B:0.34%)
54.44% (G:16.44% B:0.49%)		Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.230...-0.204) - [0.5%]
Duration: 31 minutes 37 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 6/1eq: -0.239 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		44.13% (G:11.25% B:0.29%)
55.87% (G:14.48% B:0.49%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.253...-0.224) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 11 seconds
4.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: -0.255 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:		44.68% (G:10.88% B:0.30%)
55.32% (G:17.42% B:0.55%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.270...-0.240) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 56 seconds
5.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: -0.271 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:		43.49% (G:11.34% B:0.29%)
56.51% (G:16.73% B:0.53%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.287...-0.255) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 39 seconds
6.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: -0.318 (-0.128)
Player:
Opponent:		42.63% (G:10.73% B:0.34%)
57.37% (G:16.14% B:0.68%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.332...-0.304) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 08 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 38863560
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 166
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 141
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Aa---DbE---dD---cad----A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Two Blue 13pt checkers are on her 8pt

1.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: +0.158
Player:
Opponent:		52.79% (G:18.29% B:0.44%)
47.21% (G:11.97% B:0.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.150...+0.165) - [100.0%]
Duration: 51 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 6/1eq: +0.140 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		52.65% (G:16.93% B:0.40%)
47.35% (G:12.35% B:0.42%)		Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.132...+0.148) - [0.0%]
Duration: 50 minutes 09 seconds
3.Rollout224/16eq: +0.123 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:		53.34% (G:13.63% B:0.36%)
46.66% (G:12.12% B:0.39%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.107...+0.138) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 minutes 29 seconds
4.Rollout213/10 6/1eq: +0.120 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		51.54% (G:18.51% B:0.48%)
48.46% (G:12.00% B:0.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.105...+0.135) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 04 seconds
5.Rollout28/5 6/1eq: +0.118 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:		52.06% (G:16.74% B:0.38%)
47.94% (G:11.36% B:0.42%)		Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.102...+0.135) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 59 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 5308537
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 5308537
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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