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Does it even matter? - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 20 June 2026, at 5:58 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-12-26 - Does it even matter? - Rollout (Stick)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 80
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 79
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-KA-------------baadbbCba-:2:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.Rollout122/18* 2/1eq: -1.135
Player:
Opponent:		8.96% (G:0.44% B:0.00%)
91.04% (G:32.90% B:1.46%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-1.142...-1.128) - [100.0%]
Duration: 8.3 seconds
2.Rollout122/18* 18/17* eq: -1.259 (-0.124)
Player:
Opponent:		7.82% (G:0.55% B:0.01%)
92.18% (G:42.28% B:1.95%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-1.266...-1.252) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11.3 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below is a variant. Blue should hit only once even here.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 80
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 84
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-FF-------------baadbbCba-:2:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: Blue has spares on his 2pt

1.Rollout122/18* 2/1eq: -0.977
Player:
Opponent:		11.98% (G:0.90% B:0.00%)
88.02% (G:24.92% B:0.86%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.982...-0.972) - [100.0%]
Duration: 48.4 seconds
2.Rollout122/18* 18/17* eq: -1.005 (-0.028)
Player:
Opponent:		13.34% (G:1.21% B:0.01%)
86.66% (G:30.44% B:1.36%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (-1.014...-0.995) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 04 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 64625548
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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