I tried to give some extra time hoping someone would step up and get it right but one, two, three strikes you're out at the old ball game. If we make the ace point and he fans it's a very efficient cube. (still a take, ~.050) If we hop out and he fans it is indeed too good. The main issue is in instance number one it happens 25/36 times. Instance number two not only happens far less, 16/36 times, but when it goes sideways (11 rolls+) it's really bad for us.
          
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 82 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 87
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
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| XGID=-ABBCaCC-----a-----bccbbaA:1:1:1:61:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 61 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/24* 7/1 | eq: +0.577 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.43% (G:21.81% B:0.54%)
43.57% (G:4.26% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.566...+0.588) - [100.0%]
Duration: 9.8 seconds |
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| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/24* 24/18 | eq: +0.466 (-0.111) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 62.14% (G:19.38% B:0.65%)
37.86% (G:11.89% B:0.25%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.460...+0.472) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.8 seconds |
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| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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