Safe or Bold - Variant

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Safe or Bold - Variant

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 28 June 2026, at 1:13 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-16-26 - Safe or Bold - Rollout (Stick)

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 140

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 138
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=---b--EBDa--bB---bBd-bb---:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1. Rollout¹ 7/5 6/5 eq: +0.095
Player:
Opponent: 52.69% (G:11.91% B:0.43%)
47.31% (G:11.74% B:0.38%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (+0.081...+0.108) - [100.0%]
Duration: 49.3 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 8/7 8/6 eq: +0.056 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent: 51.50% (G:9.18% B:0.29%)
48.50% (G:10.33% B:0.25%) Conf.: ą 0.011 (+0.045...+0.067) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45.6 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 8/7 6/4 eq: +0.024 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent: 50.99% (G:10.54% B:0.43%)
49.01% (G:12.96% B:0.38%) Conf.: ą 0.016 (+0.008...+0.040) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48.3 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.
Below is a cuspy variant.
Nack

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 144

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 138
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=---b--EBDa--bB---bBdbb----:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10
Variant: White's 3pt is changed to her 5pt

1. Rollout¹ 8/7 8/6 eq: +0.065
Player:
Opponent: 51.94% (G:8.68% B:0.24%)
48.06% (G:10.73% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.059...+0.071) - [93.8%]
Duration: 29 minutes 58 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 7/5 6/5 eq: +0.058 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent: 51.65% (G:10.66% B:0.35%)
48.35% (G:10.86% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.051...+0.065) - [6.2%]
Duration: 31 minutes 54 seconds
3. Rollout² 8/7 6/4 eq: +0.004 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent: 50.77% (G:9.28% B:0.32%)
49.23% (G:12.22% B:0.39%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.011...+0.019) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 17 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94865810
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94865810
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller