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PotD 06-17-26 - Four best plays

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 28 June 2026, at 4:57 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-17-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 146 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--bBCAC---cC--ac-dAb--A-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	20/15 7/1	eq: -0.213
	Player: Opponent: 45.29% (G:9.75% B:0.29%) 54.71% (G:15.20% B:0.44%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.216...-0.209) - [99.7%] Duration: 8 minutes 35 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/7 6/1	eq: -0.221 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 45.21% (G:10.25% B:0.29%) 54.79% (G:15.11% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.225...-0.217) - [0.1%] Duration: 7 minutes 52 seconds
3.	Rollout1	20/15 13/7	eq: -0.221 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 45.40% (G:9.77% B:0.37%) 54.60% (G:15.70% B:0.58%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.225...-0.217) - [0.1%] Duration: 9 minutes 07 seconds
4.	Rollout2	24/13	eq: -0.237 (-0.024)
	Player: Opponent: 44.98% (G:9.55% B:0.32%) 55.02% (G:17.26% B:0.59%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.251...-0.223) - [0.0%] Duration: 50.4 seconds
1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are three variants, each having a different unbad play. Altogether, four positions with four different best plays.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 148 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A-b-BCAC---cC--ac-dAb--A-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 21pt is changed to her 22pt

1.	Rollout1	20/15 13/7	eq: -0.011
	Player: Opponent: 50.50% (G:12.35% B:0.49%) 49.50% (G:15.00% B:0.57%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.029...+0.007) - [100.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 11 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/7 6/1	eq: -0.076 (-0.065)
	Player: Opponent: 48.93% (G:13.69% B:0.43%) 51.07% (G:15.54% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.090...-0.062) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 50 seconds
3.	Rollout1	20/15 7/1	eq: -0.122 (-0.111)
	Player: Opponent: 47.43% (G:11.59% B:0.34%) 52.57% (G:15.46% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.136...-0.107) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 10 seconds
4.	Rollout1	24/13	eq: -0.168 (-0.158)
	Player: Opponent: 46.80% (G:11.86% B:0.45%) 53.20% (G:18.23% B:0.76%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.183...-0.154) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 06 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 98755638 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 151 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--bBCAC---dC--ab-dAb--A-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: A White 8pt spare is on her 13pt

1.	Rollout1	13/7 6/1	eq: -0.110
	Player: Opponent: 47.64% (G:12.82% B:0.39%) 52.36% (G:14.31% B:0.53%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.123...-0.097) - [100.0%] Duration: 5 minutes 53 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/13	eq: -0.158 (-0.049)
	Player: Opponent: 46.94% (G:10.99% B:0.38%) 53.06% (G:15.94% B:0.60%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.172...-0.144) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 23 seconds
3.	Rollout1	20/15 7/1	eq: -0.164 (-0.055)
	Player: Opponent: 46.35% (G:10.66% B:0.30%) 53.65% (G:14.41% B:0.47%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.176...-0.153) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 24 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/8 7/1	eq: -0.166 (-0.057)
	Player: Opponent: 46.06% (G:13.48% B:0.37%) 53.94% (G:15.53% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.181...-0.151) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 12 seconds
5.	Rollout1	20/15 13/7	eq: -0.179 (-0.069)
	Player: Opponent: 46.34% (G:10.34% B:0.41%) 53.66% (G:15.32% B:0.59%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.192...-0.166) - [0.0%] Duration: 6 minutes 39 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 94865810 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 143 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--bBCAC---dC--ac-cAb--A-:0:0:1:65:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: A White 6pt spare is on her 13pt

1.	Rollout1	24/13	eq: -0.160
	Player: Opponent: 46.51% (G:10.55% B:0.33%) 53.49% (G:15.06% B:0.54%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.167...-0.153) - [99.9%] Duration: 48 minutes 20 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/7 6/1	eq: -0.176 (-0.016)
	Player: Opponent: 45.93% (G:11.66% B:0.30%) 54.07% (G:13.44% B:0.54%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.183...-0.169) - [0.1%] Duration: 37 minutes 17 seconds
3.	Rollout2	20/15 7/1	eq: -0.194 (-0.035)
	Player: Opponent: 45.32% (G:10.19% B:0.24%) 54.68% (G:13.18% B:0.48%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.210...-0.178) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 08 seconds
4.	Rollout2	20/15 13/7	eq: -0.203 (-0.043)
	Player: Opponent: 45.01% (G:10.21% B:0.37%) 54.99% (G:13.48% B:0.60%) Conf.: ± 0.022 (-0.225...-0.181) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 42 seconds
5.	Rollout2	13/8 7/1	eq: -0.221 (-0.062)
	Player: Opponent: 44.60% (G:12.02% B:0.27%) 55.40% (G:14.40% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.234...-0.209) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 39 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50692825 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50692825 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 06-17-26
  Stick -- Sunday, 21 June 2026, at 7:22 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-17-26
    ah_clem -- Sunday, 21 June 2026, at 8:40 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-17-26
    Elizabeth (erichktn @ DG) -- Monday, 22 June 2026, at 1:04 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-17-26
    OpenWheel -- Monday, 22 June 2026, at 2:59 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-17-26
    Chuck Bower -- Monday, 22 June 2026, at 5:51 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-17-26
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 3:30 a.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-17-26
    MK -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 9:00 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-17-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 9:03 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 06-17-26 - Rollout
      MK -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 10:34 p.m.
    • PotD 06-17-26 - Four best plays
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 28 June 2026, at 4:57 p.m.