BGonline.org Forums

PotD 06-18-26 - Five best plays

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 29 June 2026, at 3:51 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-18-26 - Rollout (Stick)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a-aEBB---bD--A-ce--Ab--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1.	Rollout1	8/5* 5/3*	eq: +0.130
	Player: Opponent: 54.26% (G:15.34% B:0.91%) 45.74% (G:17.42% B:0.90%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.122...+0.138) - [99.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 20 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/3* 3/1*	eq: +0.117 (-0.013)
	Player: Opponent: 53.93% (G:12.59% B:0.54%) 46.07% (G:14.74% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.109...+0.125) - [1.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 33 seconds
3.	Rollout2	13/8	eq: +0.055 (-0.075)
	Player: Opponent: 53.00% (G:10.20% B:0.49%) 47.00% (G:15.50% B:0.36%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.042...+0.069) - [0.0%] Duration: 47.3 seconds
4.	Rollout2	8/5* 7/5	eq: +0.043 (-0.087)
	Player: Opponent: 51.99% (G:16.44% B:0.94%) 48.01% (G:19.58% B:1.39%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.026...+0.061) - [0.0%] Duration: 45.0 seconds
5.	Rollout2	22/20 16/13	eq: +0.015 (-0.115)
	Player: Opponent: 51.80% (G:8.62% B:0.39%) 48.20% (G:14.08% B:0.23%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.000...+0.030) - [0.0%] Duration: 48.6 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.

Below are four variants. Altogether, five positions with five different best plays represented.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 151 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a-aEBB-b--D--A-ce--Ab--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 13pt is changed to her 15pt

1.	Rollout1	22/17	eq: +0.154
	Player: Opponent: 55.24% (G:8.70% B:0.41%) 44.76% (G:11.95% B:0.27%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.140...+0.167) - [100.0%] Duration: 18 minutes 55 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/3* 3/1*	eq: +0.116 (-0.037)
	Player: Opponent: 54.06% (G:12.58% B:0.49%) 45.94% (G:14.09% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.101...+0.132) - [0.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 25 seconds
3.	Rollout2	8/5* 5/3*	eq: +0.096 (-0.058)
	Player: Opponent: 53.50% (G:15.49% B:0.95%) 46.50% (G:17.43% B:0.84%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.080...+0.111) - [0.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 32 seconds
4.	Rollout2	22/20 16/13	eq: +0.087 (-0.067)
	Player: Opponent: 53.52% (G:8.86% B:0.39%) 46.48% (G:12.65% B:0.24%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.073...+0.100) - [0.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 16 seconds
5.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: +0.061 (-0.093)
	Player: Opponent: 53.10% (G:11.66% B:0.59%) 46.90% (G:16.65% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.046...+0.075) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 28 seconds
6.	Rollout2	8/5* 7/5	eq: +0.054 (-0.099)
	Player: Opponent: 52.20% (G:16.95% B:1.04%) 47.80% (G:19.50% B:1.31%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.037...+0.072) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 12 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50692825 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 50692825 Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 143 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a-aEBB---bD--A-cc-bAb--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: Two White 6pt spares are on her 4pt

1.	Rollout1	6/3* 3/1*	eq: -0.203
	Player: Opponent: 46.45% (G:10.50% B:0.40%) 53.55% (G:20.96% B:0.79%) Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.218...-0.189) - [99.7%] Duration: 13 minutes 17 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/5* 5/3*	eq: -0.231 (-0.027)
	Player: Opponent: 45.70% (G:12.19% B:0.66%) 54.30% (G:25.10% B:1.46%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.243...-0.218) - [0.3%] Duration: 11 minutes 21 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: -0.272 (-0.069)
	Player: Opponent: 45.26% (G:9.35% B:0.51%) 54.74% (G:23.52% B:0.56%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.283...-0.261) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 13 seconds
4.	Rollout1	22/20 16/13	eq: -0.299 (-0.095)
	Player: Opponent: 44.67% (G:8.18% B:0.43%) 55.33% (G:21.40% B:0.35%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.311...-0.286) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 20 seconds
5.	Rollout1	8/5* 7/5	eq: -0.360 (-0.156)
	Player: Opponent: 42.24% (G:11.98% B:0.65%) 57.76% (G:28.53% B:2.37%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.375...-0.345) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 08 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 42691923 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 181 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aba-aEBB---bD--A-cc--Ab--:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: Two White 6pt spares are on her 23pt

1.	Rollout1	13/8	eq: +0.534
	Player: Opponent: 62.68% (G:19.44% B:1.09%) 37.32% (G:9.96% B:0.32%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.525...+0.543) - [98.9%] Duration: 55 minutes 57 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/3* 3/1*	eq: +0.519 (-0.015)
	Player: Opponent: 61.87% (G:20.48% B:1.14%) 38.13% (G:10.14% B:0.38%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.509...+0.528) - [1.1%] Duration: 57 minutes 13 seconds
3.	Rollout2	22/20 16/13	eq: +0.503 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 61.50% (G:18.77% B:1.11%) 38.50% (G:9.85% B:0.30%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.490...+0.515) - [0.0%] Duration: 28 minutes 08 seconds
4.	Rollout2	22/17	eq: +0.492 (-0.042)
	Player: Opponent: 62.13% (G:17.40% B:0.95%) 37.87% (G:10.53% B:0.32%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.479...+0.504) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 57 seconds
5.	Rollout3	16/11	eq: +0.466 (-0.067)
	Player: Opponent: 61.04% (G:18.85% B:1.06%) 38.96% (G:10.38% B:0.38%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (+0.449...+0.484) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 58 seconds
6.	Rollout3	8/5* 5/3*	eq: +0.400 (-0.134)
	Player: Opponent: 58.80% (G:21.52% B:1.66%) 41.20% (G:12.31% B:0.71%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (+0.381...+0.419) - [0.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 58 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 64455474 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 64455474 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 64455474 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 169 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a-aEBB---dD--A-ce--A---:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: White's 2pt checkers are on her 13pt

1.	Rollout1	22/20 16/13	eq: +0.370
	Player: Opponent: 59.72% (G:12.69% B:0.64%) 40.28% (G:9.71% B:0.25%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.363...+0.377) - [78.2%] Duration: 1 hour 34 minutes
2.	Rollout1	6/3* 3/1*	eq: +0.365 (-0.005)
	Player: Opponent: 58.98% (G:15.21% B:0.57%) 41.02% (G:10.02% B:0.38%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.357...+0.373) - [20.6%] Duration: 1 hour 31 minutes
3.	Rollout1	8/5* 5/3*	eq: +0.358 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 58.21% (G:18.42% B:1.15%) 41.79% (G:11.40% B:0.55%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.348...+0.367) - [1.3%] Duration: 1 hour 28 minutes
4.	Rollout2	13/8	eq: +0.327 (-0.043)
	Player: Opponent: 58.58% (G:15.16% B:0.85%) 41.42% (G:10.94% B:0.37%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (+0.312...+0.343) - [0.0%] Duration: 16 minutes 41 seconds
5.	Rollout2	8/5* 7/5	eq: +0.324 (-0.046)
	Player: Opponent: 57.02% (G:19.30% B:1.09%) 42.98% (G:11.59% B:0.67%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.309...+0.339) - [0.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 37 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 94865810 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 94865810 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Position of the Day 06-18-26
  Stick -- Monday, 22 June 2026, at 9:14 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-18-26
    John O'Hagan -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 12:06 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-18-26
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 2:34 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-18-26
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 5:29 p.m.
    • Position of the Day 06-18-26
      Frank Berger -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 5:51 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-18-26
    mamabear -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 8:19 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-18-26
    MK -- Tuesday, 23 June 2026, at 9:06 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-18-26
    OpenWheel -- Wednesday, 24 June 2026, at 12:51 p.m.
  • Position of the Day 06-18-26 - Rollout
    Stick -- Wednesday, 24 June 2026, at 9:35 p.m.
    • PotD 06-18-26 - Five best plays
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 29 June 2026, at 3:51 a.m.