Only six legal plays - Five best plays

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Only six legal plays - Five best plays

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Monday, 29 June 2026, at 6:39 a.m.

In Response To: Only six legal plays - Rollout (Chuck Bower)

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 38

7 point match

pip: 102
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-CDBAB-------------abbdBbA:1:1:1:66:0:0:0:7:10
Original position

1. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/17(2) 19/13 eq: -0.6576
Player:
Opponent: 21.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.56% (G:15.81% B:0.27%) Conf.: ą0.0009 (-0.6585...-0.6567) - [89.4%]
Duration: 10 minutes 48 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/5 eq: -0.6584 (-0.0008)
Player:
Opponent: 21.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.71% (G:15.43% B:0.48%) Conf.: ą0.0009 (-0.6593...-0.6575) - [10.6%]
Duration: 8 minutes 52 seconds
3. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/17 23/11 eq: -0.6964 (-0.0388)
Player:
Opponent: 21.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.32% (G:19.20% B:0.76%) Conf.: ą0.0049 (-0.7013...-0.6915) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.6 seconds
4. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/17 19/7 eq: -0.7286 (-0.0710)
Player:
Opponent: 20.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.04% (G:20.79% B:1.06%) Conf.: ą0.0051 (-0.7338...-0.7235) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.0 seconds
5. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/11 19/13 eq: -0.7320 (-0.0744)
Player:
Opponent: 21.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.94% (G:20.96% B:1.06%) Conf.: ą0.0049 (-0.7368...-0.7271) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24.0 seconds
6. Rollout² Bar/19* 19/1 eq: -0.8572 (-0.1996)
Player:
Opponent: 14.20% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
85.80% (G:17.67% B:0.47%) Conf.: ą0.0044 (-0.8615...-0.8528) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.4 seconds

¹ 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 56176183
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 56176183
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.
Below are variants. Altogether, five positions with five different best plays represented.
Nack

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 40

7 point match

pip: 102
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-CDBAB-------------abdbBbA:1:1:1:66:0:0:0:7:10
Variant 1: White's 3pt spares are on her 4pt

1. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/5 eq: -0.666
Player:
Opponent: 20.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.34% (G:14.56% B:0.48%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.670...-0.661) - [100.0%]
Duration: 18.4 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/17(2) 19/13 eq: -0.683 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent: 20.73% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.27% (G:16.37% B:0.27%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.688...-0.678) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21.5 seconds
3. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/17 23/11 eq: -0.715 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent: 21.15% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
78.85% (G:19.86% B:0.78%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.719...-0.710) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20.6 seconds
4. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/11 19/13 eq: -0.732 (-0.066)
Player:
Opponent: 20.86% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.14% (G:20.48% B:1.08%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.736...-0.727) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19.8 seconds
5. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/17 19/7 eq: -0.742 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent: 20.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
79.02% (G:21.53% B:1.28%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.748...-0.737) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19.4 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 64455474
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 30

7 point match

pip: 102
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-CDBAB-------------abb-BfA:1:1:1:66:0:0:0:7:10
Variant 2: White's 3pt checkers are on her 1pt

1. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/11 19/13 eq: -0.458
Player:
Opponent: 27.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.04% (G:12.24% B:0.21%) Conf.: ą 0.003 (-0.461...-0.455) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 38 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/5 eq: -0.468 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent: 26.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.50% (G:9.86% B:0.11%) Conf.: ą 0.002 (-0.471...-0.466) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 20 seconds
3. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/17(2) 19/13 eq: -0.485 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent: 26.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.89% (G:10.75% B:0.08%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.490...-0.480) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21.0 seconds
4. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/17 23/11 eq: -0.497 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent: 26.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.56% (G:12.74% B:0.18%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.503...-0.492) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19.8 seconds
5. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/17 19/7 eq: -0.498 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent: 26.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.45% (G:12.94% B:0.24%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.503...-0.493) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19.4 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 42691923
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 42691923
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 38

7 point match

pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-CBBABB------------abbdBbA:1:1:1:66:0:0:0:7:10
Variant 3: Blue's two 2pt spares are on her 6pt

1. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/17 19/7 eq: +0.119
Player:
Opponent: 54.65% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
45.35% (G:18.78% B:1.13%) Conf.: ą 0.003 (+0.116...+0.123) - [85.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/11 19/13 eq: +0.116 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent: 53.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
46.12% (G:19.12% B:1.14%) Conf.: ą 0.004 (+0.113...+0.120) - [13.9%]
Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds
3. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/5 eq: +0.114 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent: 53.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
46.41% (G:16.17% B:0.64%) Conf.: ą 0.003 (+0.111...+0.117) - [1.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 10 seconds
4. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/17 23/11 eq: +0.096 (-0.023)
Player:
Opponent: 53.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
46.75% (G:19.78% B:1.03%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (+0.088...+0.103) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25.6 seconds
5. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/17(2) 19/13 eq: +0.068 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent: 52.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
47.86% (G:20.12% B:0.90%) Conf.: ą 0.007 (+0.060...+0.075) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27.4 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94865810
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 94865810
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 38

7 point match

pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-CBBAB-------------abbdBbA:1:1:1:66:0:0:0:7:10
Variant 4: Blue's two 2pt spares are borne off

1. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/17 23/11 eq: -0.311
Player:
Opponent: 28.41% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
71.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą 0.003 (-0.314...-0.308) - [93.1%]
Duration: 1 minute 43 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/19* 23/17(2) 19/13 eq: -0.314 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent: 28.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
71.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą 0.003 (-0.317...-0.311) - [6.9%]
Duration: 1 minute 40 seconds
3. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/5 eq: -0.331 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent: 27.58% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.42% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą 0.006 (-0.337...-0.325) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20.1 seconds
4. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/11 19/13 eq: -0.335 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent: 27.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą 0.006 (-0.342...-0.329) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22.5 seconds
5. Rollout² Bar/19* 23/17 19/7 eq: -0.347 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent: 26.95% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
73.05% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą 0.006 (-0.353...-0.340) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21.1 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 50692825
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 50692825
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

Only six legal plays
Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 24 June 2026, at 11:52 a.m.
- Only six legal plays
  OpenWheel -- Wednesday, 24 June 2026, at 1:14 p.m.
  - Only six legal plays
    Frank Berger -- Wednesday, 24 June 2026, at 3:36 p.m.
- Only six legal plays
  Stick -- Wednesday, 24 June 2026, at 9:22 p.m.
  - Only six legal plays
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 25 June 2026, at 1:53 p.m.
- Only six legal plays
  Jason Lee -- Thursday, 25 June 2026, at 1:28 p.m.
- Only six legal plays
  ah_clem -- Thursday, 25 June 2026, at 1:49 p.m.
- Only six legal plays - Rollout
  Chuck Bower -- Friday, 26 June 2026, at 6:23 p.m.
  - Only six legal plays - Five best plays
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 29 June 2026, at 6:39 a.m.

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