Early Game [32] - Six best plays

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Early Game [32] - Six best plays

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 12 July 2026, at 1:16 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 06-27-26 - Early Game [32] - Rollout (Stick)

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 144

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 175
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BB-C--BeC--ac-cA--bB-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Original position

1. Rollout¹ 20/18 13/10 eq: -0.148
Player:
Opponent: 48.17% (G:11.41% B:0.46%)
51.83% (G:18.94% B:1.58%) Conf.: ą 0.013 (-0.161...-0.135) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 16 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/11 eq: -0.187 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent: 47.01% (G:11.07% B:0.45%)
52.99% (G:19.17% B:1.10%) Conf.: ą 0.011 (-0.198...-0.175) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 03 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 20/15 eq: -0.196 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent: 47.21% (G:10.57% B:0.50%)
52.79% (G:18.69% B:1.41%) Conf.: ą 0.014 (-0.210...-0.183) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 18 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 24/21 8/6 eq: -0.201 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent: 46.47% (G:11.51% B:0.47%)
53.53% (G:18.76% B:1.00%) Conf.: ą 0.012 (-0.213...-0.189) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 00 second
5. Rollout² 24/22 13/10 eq: -0.201 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent: 47.31% (G:11.73% B:0.55%)
52.69% (G:21.25% B:1.52%) Conf.: ą 0.017 (-0.218...-0.184) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 07 seconds
6. Rollout² 13/10 8/6 eq: -0.204 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent: 46.48% (G:11.93% B:0.54%)
53.52% (G:18.15% B:1.58%) Conf.: ą 0.015 (-0.219...-0.189) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 07 seconds

¹ 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Above is Stick's rollout of the original position.
Below are variants. Altogether, six positions with six different plays represented.
Nack

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 141

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 175
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BB-C--BeC--a-ccA--bB-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 1: White's 8pt is changed to her 7pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/22 24/21 eq: -0.183
Player:
Opponent: 47.12% (G:10.26% B:0.43%)
52.88% (G:20.00% B:0.71%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.198...-0.167) - [99.7%]
Duration: 22 minutes 06 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/10 11/9 eq: -0.217 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent: 46.89% (G:11.49% B:0.51%)
53.11% (G:20.86% B:2.32%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.235...-0.198) - [0.3%]
Duration: 22 minutes 25 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/11 eq: -0.229 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent: 45.83% (G:10.58% B:0.43%)
54.17% (G:19.12% B:0.97%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.246...-0.212) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 24 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/10 eq: -0.229 (-0.047)
Player:
Opponent: 46.67% (G:10.97% B:0.45%)
53.33% (G:21.68% B:1.44%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.246...-0.213) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 16 seconds
5. Rollout¹ 24/21 11/9 eq: -0.239 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent: 46.48% (G:10.99% B:0.49%)
53.52% (G:22.04% B:1.81%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.254...-0.224) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 30 seconds
6. Rollout¹ 20/17 11/9 eq: -0.240 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent: 46.26% (G:11.06% B:0.49%)
53.74% (G:20.92% B:2.07%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.259...-0.222) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 07 seconds
7. Rollout¹ 24/21 8/6 eq: -0.258 (-0.075)
Player:
Opponent: 45.34% (G:10.75% B:0.44%)
54.66% (G:19.35% B:0.96%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.272...-0.243) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 17 seconds
8. Rollout¹ 13/10 8/6 eq: -0.272 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent: 45.17% (G:11.36% B:0.47%)
54.83% (G:19.72% B:1.84%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.289...-0.254) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 22 seconds
9. Rollout¹ 24/22 8/5 eq: -0.277 (-0.095)
Player:
Opponent: 44.84% (G:10.95% B:0.40%)
55.16% (G:20.78% B:1.06%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.293...-0.261) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 18 seconds
10. Rollout¹ 20/15 eq: -0.294 (-0.112)
Player:
Opponent: 45.23% (G:9.65% B:0.41%)
54.77% (G:20.56% B:1.59%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.312...-0.277) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 25 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 6572772
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 139

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 175
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BB-C--BdC--ad-cA--bB-:1:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 2: A White 13pt spare is on her 8pt

1. Rollout¹ 20/15 eq: -0.326
Player:
Opponent: 48.12% (G:10.74% B:0.46%)
51.88% (G:18.72% B:1.58%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.333...-0.319) - [95.7%]
Duration: 1 hour 59 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 20/18 13/10 eq: -0.334 (-0.009)
Player:
Opponent: 47.95% (G:11.27% B:0.46%)
52.05% (G:19.85% B:1.68%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.341...-0.327) - [4.3%]
Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes
3. Rollout² 13/10 8/6 eq: -0.360 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent: 46.92% (G:11.34% B:0.46%)
53.08% (G:19.20% B:1.74%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.372...-0.349) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 47 seconds
4. Rollout² 13/10 11/9 eq: -0.360 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent: 48.12% (G:11.53% B:0.47%)
51.88% (G:21.14% B:2.48%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.376...-0.345) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 09 seconds
5. Rollout² 13/8 eq: -0.381 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent: 45.82% (G:11.09% B:0.48%)
54.18% (G:18.56% B:1.56%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.393...-0.370) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 21 seconds
6. Rollout² 11/6 eq: -0.390 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent: 45.58% (G:11.08% B:0.43%)
54.42% (G:18.78% B:1.58%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.402...-0.379) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 34 seconds
7. Rollout² 20/18 8/5 eq: -0.399 (-0.074)
Player:
Opponent: 45.62% (G:10.97% B:0.46%)
54.38% (G:19.40% B:1.61%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.413...-0.386) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 26 seconds
8. Rollout² 24/22 24/21 eq: -0.402 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent: 46.03% (G:10.44% B:0.44%)
53.97% (G:21.49% B:1.00%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.415...-0.389) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 57 seconds
9. Rollout² 24/21 13/11 eq: -0.404 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent: 46.20% (G:10.65% B:0.48%)
53.80% (G:20.99% B:1.21%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.416...-0.392) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 50 seconds
10. Rollout² 24/22 13/10 eq: -0.404 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent: 46.58% (G:11.01% B:0.53%)
53.42% (G:22.93% B:1.70%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.416...-0.391) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 42 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76527106
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 76527106
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 175
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BB-C--BfC--ab-cA--bB-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 3: White's 8pt spare is on her 13pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/21 8/6 eq: -0.051
Player:
Opponent: 49.48% (G:13.13% B:0.52%)
50.52% (G:16.26% B:0.82%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.059...-0.043) - [74.1%]
Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/11 eq: -0.055 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent: 49.55% (G:12.43% B:0.50%)
50.45% (G:16.20% B:0.82%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.064...-0.047) - [24.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 10 minutes
3. Rollout¹ 24/21 11/9 eq: -0.065 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent: 50.16% (G:13.56% B:0.63%)
49.84% (G:19.12% B:1.68%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.074...-0.056) - [0.6%]
Duration: 59 minutes 03 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 24/22 24/21 eq: -0.066 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent: 49.47% (G:12.04% B:0.48%)
50.53% (G:16.89% B:0.76%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.074...-0.058) - [0.2%]
Duration: 42 minutes 50 seconds
5. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/10 eq: -0.067 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent: 49.77% (G:12.98% B:0.58%)
50.23% (G:18.69% B:1.33%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.075...-0.058) - [0.1%]
Duration: 57 minutes 09 seconds
6. Rollout¹ 13/10 11/9 eq: -0.071 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent: 49.73% (G:13.08% B:0.53%)
50.27% (G:18.08% B:1.78%) Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.081...-0.061) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 11 minutes
7. Rollout² 20/18 13/10 eq: -0.076 (-0.025)
Player:
Opponent: 49.60% (G:12.51% B:0.55%)
50.40% (G:17.27% B:1.36%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.089...-0.064) - [0.0%]
Duration: 49 minutes 01 second
8. Rollout³ 13/10 8/6 eq: -0.088 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent: 48.52% (G:13.29% B:0.53%)
51.48% (G:16.61% B:1.34%) Conf.: ± 0.023 (-0.111...-0.065) - [0.1%]
Duration: 27 minutes 40 seconds
9. Rollout³ 13/8 eq: -0.107 (-0.056)
Player:
Opponent: 48.20% (G:12.48% B:0.50%)
51.80% (G:16.34% B:1.29%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.126...-0.089) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 30 seconds
10. Rollout³ 24/22 8/5 eq: -0.115 (-0.063)
Player:
Opponent: 48.18% (G:12.94% B:0.57%)
51.82% (G:17.77% B:1.04%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.130...-0.099) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 03 seconds
11. Rollout³ 11/9 8/5 eq: -0.124 (-0.072)
Player:
Opponent: 47.95% (G:13.46% B:0.53%)
52.05% (G:17.65% B:1.52%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.141...-0.106) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 58 seconds
12. Rollout³ 11/6 eq: -0.124 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent: 47.65% (G:12.91% B:0.48%)
52.35% (G:16.32% B:1.23%) Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.140...-0.108) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 09 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3726020
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3726020
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 3726020
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 175
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BB-C--BeC--ac-cA-b-B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 4: White's 2pt is changed to her 3pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/21 13/11 eq: -0.249
Player:
Opponent: 45.29% (G:10.75% B:0.46%)
54.71% (G:18.62% B:1.10%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.258...-0.241) - [95.0%]
Duration: 59 minutes 33 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 24/21 8/6 eq: -0.259 (-0.010)
Player:
Opponent: 44.89% (G:11.03% B:0.46%)
55.11% (G:18.34% B:1.08%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.267...-0.251) - [4.9%]
Duration: 56 minutes 06 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 20/18 13/10 eq: -0.269 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent: 45.27% (G:10.35% B:0.46%)
54.73% (G:19.89% B:1.64%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.278...-0.261) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 52 minutes
4. Rollout² 24/21 11/9 eq: -0.279 (-0.030)
Player:
Opponent: 45.22% (G:10.63% B:0.44%)
54.78% (G:20.84% B:1.78%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.296...-0.262) - [0.1%]
Duration: 36 minutes 58 seconds
5. Rollout² 13/8 eq: -0.286 (-0.037)
Player:
Opponent: 44.05% (G:10.44% B:0.42%)
55.95% (G:18.67% B:1.38%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.304...-0.269) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 26 seconds
6. Rollout² 13/10 8/6 eq: -0.287 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent: 44.00% (G:11.05% B:0.44%)
56.00% (G:18.78% B:1.61%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.305...-0.269) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 34 seconds
7. Rollout² 20/15 eq: -0.304 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent: 44.16% (G:9.71% B:0.43%)
55.84% (G:19.25% B:1.47%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.321...-0.286) - [0.0%]
Duration: 40 minutes 04 seconds
8. Rollout² 13/10 11/9 eq: -0.306 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent: 44.81% (G:10.57% B:0.51%)
55.19% (G:20.84% B:2.28%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.323...-0.290) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 29 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83260761
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83260761
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 148

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 175
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=-a---BB-C--BeC--ac-cAb--B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Variant 5: White's 2pt is changed to her 4pt

1. Rollout¹ 24/22 13/10 eq: -0.395
Player:
Opponent: 42.35% (G:9.82% B:0.46%)
57.65% (G:21.78% B:1.75%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.403...-0.387) - [74.4%]
Duration: 1 hour 52 minutes
2. Rollout¹ 20/18 13/10 eq: -0.399 (-0.004)
Player:
Opponent: 42.04% (G:9.46% B:0.41%)
57.96% (G:20.88% B:1.68%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.408...-0.390) - [25.6%]
Duration: 2 hours 09 minutes
3. Rollout² 13/10 11/9 eq: -0.422 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent: 41.65% (G:9.54% B:0.41%)
58.35% (G:21.20% B:2.24%) Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.434...-0.410) - [0.0%]
Duration: 52 minutes 00 second
4. Rollout³ 20/15 eq: -0.433 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent: 40.81% (G:8.72% B:0.37%)
59.19% (G:19.99% B:1.52%) Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.451...-0.415) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35 minutes 33 seconds
5. Rollout³ 13/10 8/6 eq: -0.434 (-0.039)
Player:
Opponent: 40.66% (G:9.94% B:0.43%)
59.34% (G:19.83% B:1.68%) Conf.: ± 0.020 (-0.454...-0.414) - [0.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 49 seconds
6. Rollout³ 24/22 8/5 eq: -0.446 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent: 40.49% (G:9.51% B:0.39%)
59.51% (G:20.40% B:1.45%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.461...-0.431) - [0.0%]
Duration: 30 minutes 01 second
7. Rollout³ 13/8 eq: -0.450 (-0.055)
Player:
Opponent: 40.19% (G:9.17% B:0.40%)
59.81% (G:19.28% B:1.44%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.465...-0.435) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 33 seconds
8. Rollout³ 24/22 11/8 eq: -0.466 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent: 40.57% (G:9.22% B:0.43%)
59.43% (G:21.59% B:1.71%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.481...-0.450) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 10 seconds
9. Rollout³ 13/11 8/5 eq: -0.466 (-0.071)
Player:
Opponent: 39.49% (G:9.15% B:0.38%)
60.51% (G:19.18% B:1.45%) Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.485...-0.447) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 54 seconds
10. Rollout³ 11/6 eq: -0.473 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent: 39.74% (G:9.78% B:0.41%)
60.26% (G:19.63% B:1.58%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.487...-0.458) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 08 seconds
11. Rollout³ 11/9 8/5 eq: -0.473 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent: 39.83% (G:9.56% B:0.38%)
60.17% (G:20.59% B:1.91%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.490...-0.457) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 12 seconds
12. Rollout³ 20/18 8/5 eq: -0.477 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent: 40.10% (G:9.02% B:0.37%)
59.90% (G:20.38% B:1.40%) Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.494...-0.460) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 33 seconds

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46734448
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46734448
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

³ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 46734448
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

Position of the Day 06-27-26 - Early Game [32]
Stick -- Thursday, 2 July 2026, at 11:06 p.m.
- Position of the Day 06-27-26 - Early Game [32]
  ah_clem -- Friday, 3 July 2026, at 1:33 p.m.
- Position of the Day 06-27-26 - Early Game [32] - Rollout
  Stick -- Monday, 6 July 2026, at 7:57 p.m.
  - Early Game [32] - Six best plays
    Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 12 July 2026, at 1:16 a.m.

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