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Position of the Day 07-04-26 - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 15 July 2026, at 8:11 a.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 07-04-26 (Stick)

Some of you may recall I like looking for these positions. Positions where we're specifically on the bar against the best five point board and still might have a take. They're certainly hard to find (garden variety positions) and in general if you simply passed these regular looking positions when faced with the cube you would be doing pretty well. I tweaked this position a lot from the original I faced OtB and it's still a drop. We're up in the race, have a good board/prime of our own, and the rest of the opp's checkers are still pretty far away...yet still, too powerful.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 114
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-aBBBaCC--a-b---B--bbbbb-A:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 70.08% (G:26.12% B:0.46%) 71.49% (G:26.89% B:0.62%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.92% (G:8.52% B:0.35%) 28.51% (G:9.20% B:0.57%)
Cubeless Equities +0.579 +1.214
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.794 (-0.206)±0.004 (+0.789..+0.798)
Double/Take:+1.024 (+0.024)±0.008 (+1.016..+1.032)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 48 seconds

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