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ROLLOUT: Position of the Day 07-07-26

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Wednesday, 22 July 2026, at 8:39 p.m.

In Response To: Position of the Day 07-07-26 (Stick)

XGR+ favors anchoring, XGR++ favors making the five point, both by only a few millipoints. 1296 rollout has them statistically tied at a 3 millipoint difference with anchoring the favorite.

One of the strengths of "When in doubt make the five point" is that when it's wrong it's usually not wrong by much.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a--a-E-DB--cBa-bb-cb-A-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout124/21 22/21eq: -0.169
Player:
Opponent:
44.97% (G:10.18% B:0.34%)
55.03% (G:9.84% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.013 (-0.182...-0.156) - [62.2%]
Duration: 7 minutes 18 seconds
2.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: -0.172 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
45.48% (G:13.93% B:0.65%)
54.52% (G:14.91% B:0.68%)
Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.187...-0.157) - [37.8%]
Duration: 6 minutes 14 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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