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stronger settings rollout is closer

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 29 July 2026, at 8:15 a.m.

In Response To: stronger settings rollout is closer (Bob Koca)

I don't know if it's fair to say that unless you knock almost all of the variance out of the rollouts. Here's mine.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 187
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 114
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--BBB-aA----b--b-bBcCcCaa-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.67% (G:38.10% B:0.86%) 63.58% (G:38.19% B:0.77%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.33% (G:6.40% B:0.26%) 36.42% (G:6.44% B:0.25%)
Cubeless Equities +0.596 +1.189
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.821 (-0.064)±0.004 (+0.817..+0.825)
Double/Take:+0.885±0.005 (+0.881..+0.890)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.115)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 48 minutes 16 seconds

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